As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Jay Z at 95.8% in Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? — $166.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Jay Z, is priced at 95.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +6.5 pts; past week: +33.2 pts; past month: +64.8 pts.
Since September 22, 2026, Jay Z has traded between 15.5% and 93.8%. It opened at 15.5% and last traded at 93.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 61.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 62.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 93.8% |
Jay Z is favored at 95.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Z | 96¢ | 95.8% | +6.5 pts | $10.5K | 6.3% |
| Drake | 13¢ | 12.6% | -0.1 pts | $7.0K | 4.2% |
| Post Malone | 12¢ | 11.5% | -1.0 pts | $8.5K | 5.1% |
| Taylor Swift | 11¢ | 11.2% | -0.3 pts | $13.9K | 8.4% |
| Kanye West | 11¢ | 10.6% | +2.4 pts | $24.8K | 14.9% |
| Miley Cyrus | 10¢ | 10.5% | +0.1 pts | $4.7K | 2.8% |
| Dua Lipa | 9¢ | 9.4% | +0.1 pts | $5.9K | 3.5% |
| Luke Combs | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $8.7K | 5.2% |
| Morgan Wallen | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $20.5K | 12.3% |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 6¢ | 5.8% | +0.5 pts | $21.6K | 13.0% |
| Justin Bieber | 5¢ | 4.8% | -1.4 pts | $7.6K | 4.5% |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $15.5K | 9.3% |
| Harry Styles | 3¢ | 3.1% | — | $17.1K | 10.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$166.2K has been traded on this event in total, $1.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LXI halftime show currently scheduled for February 14, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying performances include but are not limited to singing and dancing. An appearance during the event where an individual does not perform as an incorporated part of the show will not alone qualify for a "Yes" resolution. "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched to music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LXI halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,494 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 1,494 | $1.4K |
| Impure-Contingency | Yes | 829 | $794 |
| Small-Freckle | No | 500 | $21 |
| Ancient-Interviewer-Prison | No | 297 | $13 |
| Unique-Disarmament | No | 256 | $11 |
| Cheery-Science | No | 248 | $11 |
| Remarkable-Underpass | No | 227 | $10 |
| Gifted-Luck-Sort | No | 222 | $9 |
| Fickle-Wharf | Yes | 115 | $110 |
| 0xd45bf309… | No | 110 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 11:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.7% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 11:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.5% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 11:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.7% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 11:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 11:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.3% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 11:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.4% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 11:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 11:22 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 08:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.1% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 08:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.7% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Jay Z at 95.8%. Next is Drake at 12.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-perform-at-the-2027-big-game-halftime-show?via=bro
$166.2K in total volume, with $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Jay Z, priced at 95.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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