As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Gadi Eizenkot at 63.0% in Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government? — $26.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Gadi Eizenkot, is priced at 63.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +6.0 pts.
Since October 19, 2026, Gadi Eizenkot has traded between 55.0% and 64.0%. It opened at 55.0% and last traded at 64.0%.
Gadi Eizenkot is favored at 63.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 63¢ | 63.0% | +6.0 pts | $9.9K | 37.9% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
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| Person 77 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person 78 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
Plus 20 more outcomes — see the full book on Polymarket.
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 60¢ / ask 66¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$26.2K has been traded on this event in total, $1.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 100 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,420 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daring-President | No | 1,420 | $526 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,125 | $416 |
| Joyous-Catalyst | No | 1,090 | $403 |
| Lean-Pantyhose | Yes | 991 | $624 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | Yes | 777 | $489 |
| Unlucky-Nobody | Yes | 555 | $350 |
| Weird-Freedom | Yes | 484 | $305 |
| Monumental-Sonata | Yes | 317 | $199 |
| Piercing-Scholarship-Stage | Yes | 313 | $197 |
| Queasy-Cougar | Yes | 252 | $159 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 06:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 37.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 06:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.5% | $41 |
| Oct 24, 06:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 33.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 05:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 67.5% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 05:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 66.9% | $36 |
| Oct 24, 03:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 67.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:29 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Gadi Eizenkot at 63.0%. Next is Other at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-israels-next-government-20261019144924877?via=bro
$26.2K in total volume, with $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 100 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Gadi Eizenkot, priced at 63.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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