As of October 24, 2026, 07:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Candidate A at 50.0% in Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil? — $66.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Candidate A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Candidate A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | 8¢ | 8.0% | -6.5 pts | $56.9K | 86.3% |
| Ronaldo Caiado | 2¢ | 2.1% | +0.1 pts | $1.3K | 2.0% |
| Lula da Silva | 2¢ | 1.6% | +0.2 pts | $3.1K | 4.7% |
| Augusto Cury | 1¢ | 1.1% | +0.1 pts | $776 | 1.2% |
| Renan Santos | 1¢ | 0.7% | -0.4 pts | $1.0K | 1.6% |
| Romeu Zema | 1¢ | 0.7% | -1.1 pts | $2.8K | 4.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$66.0K has been traded on this event in total, $2.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 33 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 10:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An endorsement of an individual for any party’s nomination to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections will not qualify. The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Flavio and Lula”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 12 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 12 | $6 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 7 | $3 |
| Pleased-Grandparent | Yes | 6 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.7% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 06:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 06:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.7% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 04:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 04:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Candidate A at 50.0%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-endorse-for-president-of-brazil-20260803210809?via=bro
$66.0K in total volume, with $2.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 33 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 10:59 PM ET.
Candidate A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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