Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Candidate A at 50.0% in Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil? — $66.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $2.6K.
Leading outcome
Candidate A
50%
A 50.0% price implies roughly a 50-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.0 pts7D +0.0 pts30D +0.0 pts
Candidate A50.0%
Candidate B50.0%
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
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Market facts

Event data
Event
Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?
Category
Trump, Brazil, Politics, Elections, endorsements, Global Elections, International Election Props
Scheduled end
October 25, 2026, 10:59 PM ET
Total volume
$66.0K
Volume (24h)
$2.6K
Liquidity
$69.6K
Markets
33
Leading outcome
Candidate A — 50.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Candidate A, is priced at 50.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Candidate A is favored at 50.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Candidate A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Flávio Bolsonaro8¢8.0%-6.5 pts$56.9K86.3%
Ronaldo Caiado2¢2.1%+0.1 pts$1.3K2.0%
Lula da Silva2¢1.6%+0.2 pts$3.1K4.7%
Augusto Cury1¢1.1%+0.1 pts$7761.2%
Renan Santos1¢0.7%-0.4 pts$1.0K1.6%
Romeu Zema1¢0.7%-1.1 pts$2.8K4.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$66.0K has been traded on this event in total, $2.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 33 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 10:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An endorsement of an individual for any party’s nomination to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections will not qualify. The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Flavio and Lula”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 12 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No12$6
Belated-GlueYes7$3
Pleased-GrandparentYes6$3

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $200 at 99.6%BUY No — $200 at 99.5%BUY No — $162 at 99.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:05 PM ETYesBUY9.0%$3
Oct 24, 06:12 PM ETNoSELL91.0%$5
Oct 24, 06:12 PM ETYesBUY9.0%$3
Oct 24, 06:12 PM ETYesBUY8.0%$4
Oct 24, 06:08 PM ETNoSELL91.7%$7
Oct 24, 06:08 PM ETNoSELL91.0%$5
Oct 24, 06:08 PM ETYesBUY8.0%$10
Oct 24, 06:08 PM ETYesBUY8.7%$4
Oct 24, 04:06 PM ETNoBUY94.0%$9
Oct 24, 04:06 PM ETYesSELL6.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Candidate A at 50.0%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-endorse-for-president-of-brazil-20260803210809?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil??

$66.0K in total volume, with $2.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 33 markets.

When does Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 10:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?, according to Polymarket traders?

Candidate A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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