Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Sam Altman at 13.5% in Who will Trump meet with by October 31? — $66.8K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $439.
Leading outcome
Sam Altman
14%
A 13.5% price implies roughly a 14-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.5 pts7D −11.0 pts
Sam Altman13.5%
Dario Amodei11.0%
Bid
12¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 01, 2026: 13.5% – 47.5% · Opened at 31.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Who will Trump meet with by October 31?
Category
Trump, Politics, Geopolitics
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$66.8K
Volume (24h)
$439
Liquidity
$202.4K
Markets
16
Leading outcome
Sam Altman — 13.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Sam Altman, is priced at 13.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -11.0 pts.

Since October 01, 2026, Sam Altman has traded between 13.5% and 47.5%. It opened at 31.5% and last traded at 13.5%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202624.5%
Oct 18, 202625.0%
Oct 19, 202616.5%
Oct 20, 202616.5%
Oct 22, 202615.5%
Oct 23, 202614.0%
Oct 24, 202613.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Sam Altman is favored at 13.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Sam Altman14¢13.5%-0.5 pts$2.1K3.1%
Dario Amodei11¢11.0%-3.0 pts$3.0K4.5%
Mark Carney4¢4.4%+1.5 pts$2.5K3.8%
Benjamin Netanyahu3¢2.8%-1.4 pts$8.6K12.9%
Joseph Aoun3¢2.8%-0.1 pts$1900.3%
Javier Milei2¢2.4%+0.9 pts$16.1K24.0%
Andy Burnham2¢2.1%+0.1 pts$9271.4%
Miguel Díaz-Canel2¢1.9%-1.2 pts$1.2K1.8%
Mohammed bin Salman2¢1.6%-1.2 pts$2.1K3.1%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy1¢1.2%—$8.9K13.3%
Vladimir Putin1¢1.2%—$2.5K3.8%
Kim Jong Un1¢1.1%—$2.0K3.0%
Giorgia Meloni1¢1.1%—$2.9K4.3%
Keir Starmer1¢1.0%—$2.5K3.7%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva1¢1.0%-0.1 pts$2.4K3.6%
Xi Jinping1¢0.9%—$4.5K6.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 12¢ / ask 15¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$66.8K has been traded on this event in total, $439 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 262 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Silver-AstronomyNo262$226
Belated-GlueYes219$30
Plastic-LarderNo216$187
Snappy-RoosterYes170$23
Super-Pause-ArchrivalYes71$10
Quarrelsome-FilthNo65$56
Creamy-GeologyYes60$8
Required-HornYes54$7
0x889779ef…No48$42
Velvety-PatentYes30$4

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $817 at 91.2%BUY No — $326 at 96.0%BUY No — $255 at 97.5%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:34 AM ETYesBUY3.4%$1
Oct 24, 04:51 AM ETNoBUY97.7%$42
Oct 23, 11:15 PM ETNoBUY96.3%$34
Oct 23, 11:15 PM ETNoBUY96.4%$10
Oct 23, 09:43 PM ETNoBUY96.3%$38
Oct 23, 01:31 PM ETYesBUY1.2%$0
Oct 23, 02:11 AM ETYesBUY3.9%$6
Oct 22, 11:02 PM ETYesSELL3.0%$3
Oct 22, 08:38 PM ETYesSELL2.6%$3
Oct 22, 08:37 PM ETYesSELL2.6%$3

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Who will Trump meet with by October 31??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Sam Altman at 13.5%. Next is Dario Amodei at 11.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-meet-with-by-october-31?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Who will Trump meet with by October 31??

$66.8K in total volume, with $439 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.

When does Who will Trump meet with by October 31? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Who will Trump meet with by October 31?, according to Polymarket traders?

Sam Altman, priced at 13.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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