As of October 24, 2026, 06:26 PM ET, Polymarket traders price J.B. Pritzker at 69.5% in Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31? — $157.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, J.B. Pritzker, is priced at 69.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +30.1 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, J.B. Pritzker has traded between 39.4% and 94.5%. It opened at 94.5% and last traded at 69.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 39.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 71.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 69.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 69.1% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 69.5% |
J.B. Pritzker is favored at 69.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.B. Pritzker | 70¢ | 69.5% | — | $717 | 0.5% |
| Hakeem Jeffries | 56¢ | 55.5% | -17.0 pts | $5.7K | 3.6% |
| Tucker Carlson | 53¢ | 53.0% | +12.0 pts | $9.4K | 6.0% |
| Mark Carney | 29¢ | 29.0% | -2.5 pts | $3.4K | 2.2% |
| Stephen Colbert | 19¢ | 19.0% | -0.5 pts | $58 | 0.0% |
| Zohran Mamdani | 13¢ | 13.0% | -1.0 pts | $7.3K | 4.7% |
| Dario Amodei | 12¢ | 12.5% | +1.5 pts | $94 | 0.1% |
| Candace Owens | 12¢ | 12.0% | -0.5 pts | $8.9K | 5.7% |
| Emmanuel Macron | 12¢ | 11.8% | -3.1 pts | $1.6K | 1.0% |
| Friedrich Merz | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $3.5K | 2.2% |
| Ken Paxton | 10¢ | 10.0% | -1.5 pts | $4.6K | 2.9% |
| Andy Burnham | 8¢ | 8.0% | +4.1 pts | $1.2K | 0.7% |
| Mike Rogers | 8¢ | 8.0% | — | $569 | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 8¢ | 7.9% | -4.1 pts | $1.9K | 1.2% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian | 3¢ | 3.4% | -0.9 pts | $214 | 0.1% |
| Pope Leo XIV | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $2.6K | 1.7% |
| Vladimir Putin | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.2 pts | $1.8K | 1.1% |
| Kevin Warsh | 3¢ | 2.8% | -0.9 pts | $795 | 0.5% |
| Elon Musk | 2¢ | 1.9% | — | $452 | 0.3% |
| J.D. Vance | 2¢ | 1.7% | -1.4 pts | $2.6K | 1.7% |
| Xi Jinping | 1¢ | 0.9% | -0.8 pts | $553 | 0.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 41¢ (bid 49¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$157.4K has been traded on this event in total, $2.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 21 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 161 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uncommon-Gutter-Stance | No | 161 | $49 |
| Quarrelsome-Filth | Yes | 121 | $84 |
| Stimulating-Spasm | Yes | 70 | $49 |
| 0x46299616… | Yes | 30 | $21 |
| Thorough-Neighbourhood | Yes | 20 | $14 |
| Charming-Kidney-Imagination | No | 20 | $6 |
| 0xa28fead0… | No | 20 | $6 |
| Wry-Synthesis-Masterpiece | No | 16 | $5 |
| Celebrated-Detection | Yes | 15 | $11 |
| Stingy-Destruction | No | 15 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 52.3% | $39 |
| Oct 24, 11:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 06:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 06:35 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $35 |
| Oct 24, 04:01 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 57.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 03:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 12:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 60.2% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 12:29 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $28 |
| Oct 23, 09:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $17 |
| Oct 23, 09:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $17 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is J.B. Pritzker at 69.5%. Next is Hakeem Jeffries at 55.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-october-31-2026?via=bro
$157.4K in total volume, with $2.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 21 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
J.B. Pritzker, priced at 69.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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