Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Hillary Clinton at 6.0% in Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30? — $186.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Hillary Clinton
6%
A 6.0% price implies roughly a 6-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
30D −10.0 pts
Bid
2¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
8¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 02, 2026: 5.5% – 76.0% · Opened at 53.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?
Category
Trump, Culture, Politics, Trump-Netanyahu
Scheduled end
September 30, 2026, 07:59 PM ET
Total volume
$186.2K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$64
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Hillary Clinton — 6.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Hillary Clinton, is priced at 6.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past month: -10.0 pts.

Since September 02, 2026, Hillary Clinton has traded between 5.5% and 76.0%. It opened at 53.5% and last traded at 6.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 20266.5%
Oct 17, 20266.0%
Oct 18, 20266.0%
Oct 19, 20266.0%
Oct 20, 20266.0%
Oct 22, 20266.0%
Oct 23, 20266.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Hillary Clinton is favored at 6.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Hillary Clinton6¢6.0%—$3.1K1.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 10¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$186.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end September 30, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 305 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Trained-NotionNo305$287
Quarrelsome-FilthYes173$10
Belated-GlueYes119$7
Mortified-WetlandNo60$56
Unwieldy-DrawerNo50$47
Grim-GarageYes40$2
Bouncy-SavingYes40$2
Evil-RowNo38$36
Frail-PrayerYes37$2
Carefree-SauceNo31$29

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $104 at 83.5%SELL Yes — $104 at 65.0%BUY No — $100 at 80.5%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 17, 03:44 AM ETYesSELL2.7%$0
Oct 16, 11:00 AM ETNoBUY97.0%$19
Oct 14, 09:53 PM ETYesBUY5.0%$2
Oct 12, 07:08 AM ETNoSELL99.0%$1
Oct 12, 07:08 AM ETNoSELL99.0%$8
Oct 12, 07:08 AM ETNoSELL99.0%$2
Oct 12, 07:08 AM ETYesSELL2.2%$6
Oct 02, 12:01 PM ETNoSELL83.5%$104
Oct 01, 03:55 PM ETNoSELL92.0%$5
Sep 30, 03:04 PM ETNoBUY98.0%$10

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Hillary Clinton at 6.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-september-30-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30??

$186.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30? end?

The market is scheduled to end September 30, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?, according to Polymarket traders?

Hillary Clinton, priced at 6.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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