As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Hillary Clinton at 6.0% in Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30? — $186.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Hillary Clinton, is priced at 6.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: -10.0 pts.
Since September 02, 2026, Hillary Clinton has traded between 5.5% and 76.0%. It opened at 53.5% and last traded at 6.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 6.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 6.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 6.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 6.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 6.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 6.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 6.0% |
Hillary Clinton is favored at 6.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillary Clinton | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $3.1K | 1.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 10¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$186.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end September 30, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 305 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trained-Notion | No | 305 | $287 |
| Quarrelsome-Filth | Yes | 173 | $10 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 119 | $7 |
| Mortified-Wetland | No | 60 | $56 |
| Unwieldy-Drawer | No | 50 | $47 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 40 | $2 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 40 | $2 |
| Evil-Row | No | 38 | $36 |
| Frail-Prayer | Yes | 37 | $2 |
| Carefree-Sauce | No | 31 | $29 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 03:44 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.7% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 11:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $19 |
| Oct 14, 09:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 07:08 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 07:08 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $8 |
| Oct 12, 07:08 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 07:08 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.2% | $6 |
| Oct 02, 12:01 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.5% | $104 |
| Oct 01, 03:55 PM ET | No | SELL | 92.0% | $5 |
| Sep 30, 03:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Hillary Clinton at 6.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-september-30-2026?via=bro
$186.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end September 30, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Hillary Clinton, priced at 6.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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