Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Andy Burnham at 99.0% in Who will Trump speak to by October 31? — $260.8K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $5.9K.
Leading outcome
Andy Burnham
99%
A 99.0% price implies roughly a 99-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.1 pts7D +61.0 pts
Andy Burnham99.0%
Mark Rutte31.0%
Bid
98¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 01, 2026: 23.5% – 99.1% · Opened at 74.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Who will Trump speak to by October 31?
Category
Trump, Politics, Geopolitics
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$260.8K
Volume (24h)
$5.9K
Liquidity
$162.9K
Markets
15
Leading outcome
Andy Burnham — 99.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Andy Burnham, is priced at 99.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +61.0 pts.

Since October 01, 2026, Andy Burnham has traded between 23.5% and 99.1%. It opened at 74.5% and last traded at 99.1%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202638.0%
Oct 16, 202637.5%
Oct 18, 202639.5%
Oct 19, 202637.5%
Oct 20, 202637.5%
Oct 22, 202636.5%
Oct 23, 202699.1%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Andy Burnham is favored at 99.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Andy Burnham99¢99.0%-0.1 pts$4.1K1.6%
Mark Rutte31¢31.0%+9.0 pts$8.3K3.2%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy22¢22.5%-17.5 pts$24.6K9.4%
Ahmed al-Sharaa22¢22.5%-9.0 pts$66.3K25.4%
Lula da Silva14¢14.0%-14.0 pts$23.6K9.1%
Xi Jinping9¢9.0%+3.0 pts$8.9K3.4%
Maria Corina Machado4¢3.5%+0.7 pts$1.5K0.6%
Kim Jong Un3¢3.0%-0.4 pts$1.4K0.5%
Pope Leo XIV3¢2.9%-7.0 pts$3.0K1.1%
Miguel Díaz-Canel3¢2.6%-0.1 pts$7140.3%
Yoon Suk Yeol2¢2.1%-0.2 pts$6230.2%
Masoud Pezeshkian2¢1.8%—$1.4K0.6%
Reza Pahlavi2¢1.7%+0.1 pts$2.2K0.9%
Mojtaba Khamenei2¢1.6%+1.0 pts$5480.2%
Nicolás Maduro1¢1.1%—$6890.3%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$260.8K has been traded on this event in total, $5.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 15 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 250 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Advanced-MortgageYes250$248
Belated-GlueNo229$2
Nice-PerennialYes223$221
Quarrelsome-FilthYes205$203
Ripe-CakeYes200$198
Scarce-FootnoteNo190$2
Modern-MaliceYes180$178
Stale-CashewNo175$2
Peppery-CapitalYes130$129
Required-HornNo113$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $9.8K at 88.0%SELL No — $5.9K at 53.0%BUY No — $4.9K at 83.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:34 PM ETYesSELL11.0%$0
Oct 24, 04:34 PM ETYesSELL12.0%$0
Oct 24, 04:31 PM ETNoSELL86.0%$4
Oct 24, 03:20 PM ETYesBUY25.0%$2
Oct 24, 12:50 PM ETYesSELL21.0%$1
Oct 24, 12:50 PM ETNoBUY79.0%$8
Oct 24, 12:50 PM ETYesSELL22.0%$1
Oct 24, 12:50 PM ETNoBUY78.0%$7
Oct 24, 12:23 PM ETYesBUY18.0%$5
Oct 24, 10:52 AM ETNoSELL74.0%$3

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Who will Trump speak to by October 31??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Andy Burnham at 99.0%. Next is Mark Rutte at 31.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-speak-to-by-october-31?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Who will Trump speak to by October 31??

$260.8K in total volume, with $5.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 15 markets.

When does Who will Trump speak to by October 31? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Who will Trump speak to by October 31?, according to Polymarket traders?

Andy Burnham, priced at 99.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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