As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Andy Burnham at 99.0% in Who will Trump speak to by October 31? — $260.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Andy Burnham, is priced at 99.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +61.0 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, Andy Burnham has traded between 23.5% and 99.1%. It opened at 74.5% and last traded at 99.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 39.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 36.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 99.1% |
Andy Burnham is favored at 99.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Burnham | 99¢ | 99.0% | -0.1 pts | $4.1K | 1.6% |
| Mark Rutte | 31¢ | 31.0% | +9.0 pts | $8.3K | 3.2% |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 22¢ | 22.5% | -17.5 pts | $24.6K | 9.4% |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa | 22¢ | 22.5% | -9.0 pts | $66.3K | 25.4% |
| Lula da Silva | 14¢ | 14.0% | -14.0 pts | $23.6K | 9.1% |
| Xi Jinping | 9¢ | 9.0% | +3.0 pts | $8.9K | 3.4% |
| Maria Corina Machado | 4¢ | 3.5% | +0.7 pts | $1.5K | 0.6% |
| Kim Jong Un | 3¢ | 3.0% | -0.4 pts | $1.4K | 0.5% |
| Pope Leo XIV | 3¢ | 2.9% | -7.0 pts | $3.0K | 1.1% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel | 3¢ | 2.6% | -0.1 pts | $714 | 0.3% |
| Yoon Suk Yeol | 2¢ | 2.1% | -0.2 pts | $623 | 0.2% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $1.4K | 0.6% |
| Reza Pahlavi | 2¢ | 1.7% | +0.1 pts | $2.2K | 0.9% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei | 2¢ | 1.6% | +1.0 pts | $548 | 0.2% |
| Nicolás Maduro | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $689 | 0.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$260.8K has been traded on this event in total, $5.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 15 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 250 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced-Mortgage | Yes | 250 | $248 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 229 | $2 |
| Nice-Perennial | Yes | 223 | $221 |
| Quarrelsome-Filth | Yes | 205 | $203 |
| Ripe-Cake | Yes | 200 | $198 |
| Scarce-Footnote | No | 190 | $2 |
| Modern-Malice | Yes | 180 | $178 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 175 | $2 |
| Peppery-Capital | Yes | 130 | $129 |
| Required-Horn | No | 113 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 04:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 04:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 03:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:50 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 12:50 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 22.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 12:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 10:52 AM ET | No | SELL | 74.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Andy Burnham at 99.0%. Next is Mark Rutte at 31.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-speak-to-by-october-31?via=bro
$260.8K in total volume, with $5.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 15 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Andy Burnham, priced at 99.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.