As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 95.7% in Will 1win launch a token by ___? — $8.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 95.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.1 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 83.0% and 95.0%. It opened at 83.0% and last traded at 94.5%.
December 31, 2026 is favored at 95.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 96¢ | 95.7% | +1.1 pts | $3.2K | 36.9% |
| November 30, 2026 | 92¢ | 91.5% | -1.5 pts | $2.1K | 24.7% |
| October 31, 2026 | 22¢ | 21.5% | +3.0 pts | $3.3K | 38.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.7K has been traded on this event in total, $311 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 1win officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by 1win after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from 1win (https://x.com/1winToken), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 650 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scarce-Footnote | No | 650 | $28 |
| Playful-Laundry | Yes | 476 | $455 |
| Incredible-Pickup | No | 347 | $15 |
| Vacant-Legacy | Yes | 337 | $322 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 270 | $12 |
| Cool-Pattypan | Yes | 263 | $251 |
| Jam-Packed-Dividend | Yes | 150 | $143 |
| Threadbare-Investor-Traffic | Yes | 75 | $72 |
| Monumental-Injustice | Yes | 64 | $61 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 54 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 10:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 10:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:51 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 08:25 AM ET | No | SELL | 4.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 6.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 5.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 06:58 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.0% | $86 |
| Oct 24, 06:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 05:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 92.0% | $46 |
| Oct 23, 03:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.8% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 95.7%. Next is November 30, 2026 at 91.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-1win-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$8.7K in total volume, with $311 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 95.7% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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