As of October 24, 2026, 09:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 56.0% in Will 6+ coins launched in 2026 end the year above $1B FDV? — $116 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 56.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.0 pts; past week: -5.0 pts; past month: -5.5 pts.
Since January 05, 2026, No has traded between 30.0% and 75.5%. It opened at 38.0% and last traded at 56.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 58.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 56.0% |
No is favored at 56.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 56¢ | 56.0% | -2.0 pts | $116 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 44¢ | 44.0% | +2.0 pts | $116 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 70¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 79¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$116 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 6 or more tokens launched in 2026 end the year with an FDV above $1B. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The token price used will be the “Close” price on CoinGecko for December 31, 2026, as shown in the token’s historical data (e.g., Hyperliquid: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid/historical_data). Stablecoins, LSTs, liquidity pool tokens, or synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 14 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Complex-Casino | No | 14 | $8 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 10 | $4 |
| United-Welcome | Yes | 9 | $4 |
| Frozen-Bird | No | 3 | $2 |
| Venerated-Dawn | No | 3 | $2 |
| Frigid-Surge | Yes | 3 | $1 |
| Wide-Eyed-Ramen | No | 3 | $2 |
| Radiant-Ashram | Yes | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 09:39 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $0 |
| Apr 30, 09:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.0% | $5 |
| Mar 17, 12:45 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 29.6% | $5 |
| Mar 11, 10:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $1 |
| Mar 05, 07:46 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.4% | $4 |
| Mar 05, 07:46 AM ET | No | SELL | 36.0% | $5 |
| Mar 05, 07:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $11 |
| Mar 05, 07:40 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.3% | $9 |
| Feb 09, 09:33 AM ET | No | SELL | 42.0% | $2 |
| Feb 09, 09:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 64.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 56.0%. Next is Yes at 44.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-6-coins-launched-in-2026-end-the-year-above-1b-fdv?via=bro
$116 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
No, priced at 56.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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