As of October 24, 2026, 09:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 68.5% in Will 9z Make a Roster Change by December 31? — $715 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 68.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +5.0 pts; past week: +5.0 pts; past month: -12.5 pts.
Since August 29, 2026, No has traded between 33.5% and 73.5%. It opened at 41.0% and last traded at 59.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 59.5% |
No is favored at 68.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 68¢ | 68.5% | -5.0 pts | $715 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 32¢ | 31.5% | +5.0 pts | $715 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 21¢ (bid 21¢ / ask 42¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$715 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 9z's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of 9z" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/9996/9z#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: max, HUASOPEEK, luchov, meyern, dgt. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.hltv.org/team/9996/9z#tab-rosterBox
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 130 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Well-Made-Sovereignty | Yes | 130 | $41 |
| Angelic-Craw | No | 79 | $54 |
| Eminent-Beet | No | 59 | $40 |
| Medium-Peacock | Yes | 40 | $13 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | Yes | 29 | $9 |
| Quarterly-Compress | No | 21 | $14 |
| Insidious-Meteor | No | 20 | $14 |
| Rusty-Favorite | No | 20 | $14 |
| Jaunty-Nestmate | Yes | 11 | $3 |
| Corrupt-Stomach | No | 10 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 11:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 01, 11:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $5 |
| Sep 30, 02:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 57.0% | $11 |
| Sep 23, 02:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 63.0% | $25 |
| Aug 31, 12:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 36.6% | $7 |
| Aug 29, 03:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $12 |
| Aug 29, 03:25 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $41 |
| Aug 29, 03:01 AM ET | No | SELL | 57.0% | $23 |
| Aug 29, 01:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 57.0% | $11 |
| Aug 29, 01:09 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 42.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 68.5%. Next is Yes at 31.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-9z-make-a-roster-change-by-december-31?via=bro
$715 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.hltv.org/team/9996/9z#tab-rosterBox.
No, priced at 68.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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