As of October 24, 2026, 08:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 89.0% in Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV? — $4.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 89.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.0 pts; past month: +1.0 pts.
Since January 05, 2026, No has traded between 59.0% and 94.0%. It opened at 59.0% and last traded at 89.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 89.0% |
No is favored at 89.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 89¢ | 89.0% | — | $4.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 11¢ | 11.0% | — | $4.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 6¢ / ask 16¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any token launched in 2026 ends the year with an FDV above $20B. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” A token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched. The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The token price used will be the “Close” price on CoinGecko for December 31, 2026, as shown in the token’s historical data (e.g., Hyperliquid: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid/historical_data). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
Resolution source: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid/historical_data
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,160 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hasty-Saucer | No | 1,160 | $1.0K |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere | Yes | 231 | $25 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 210 | $23 |
| Internal-Hospitality | Yes | 205 | $23 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia | Yes | 201 | $22 |
| Terrific-Resort | Yes | 200 | $22 |
| Buoyant-Friendship | No | 86 | $77 |
| Full-Polyester | Yes | 84 | $9 |
| Messy-Dough | Yes | 50 | $6 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 41 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 09:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $4 |
| Oct 12, 04:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $188 |
| Oct 04, 03:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $5 |
| Oct 04, 03:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 03, 06:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 01, 08:17 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $1 |
| Sep 30, 07:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Sep 30, 12:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Sep 15, 03:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.7% | $79 |
| Sep 12, 12:26 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 89.0%. Next is Yes at 11.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-coin-launched-in-2026-end-the-year-above-20b-fdv-398?via=bro
$4.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid/historical_data.
No, priced at 89.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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