As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 50 at 41.5% in Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___? — $25.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 50, is priced at 41.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -11.0 pts; past week: -6.5 pts; past month: +1.0 pts.
Since January 05, 2026, 50 has traded between 25.5% and 94.5%. It opened at 83.0% and last traded at 41.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 48.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 42.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 42.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 41.5% |
50 is favored at 41.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 42¢ | 41.5% | -11.0 pts | $4.7K | 18.6% |
| 20 | 14¢ | 14.5% | — | $5.3K | 21.2% |
| 10 | 6¢ | 5.5% | +0.5 pts | $11.2K | 44.6% |
| 5 | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $3.9K | 15.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 11¢ (bid 36¢ / ask 47¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$25.1K has been traded on this event in total, $269 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least one coin launched in 2026 appears in the top 50 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization on CoinGecko at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” Rankings will be determined using CoinGecko’s market capitalization rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
Resolution source: https://www.coingecko.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,770 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wobbly-Chain | Yes | 1,770 | $735 |
| Fruitful-Ectoderm | No | 1,299 | $760 |
| Jam-Packed-Dividend | Yes | 427 | $177 |
| Weepy-Sorbet | No | 283 | $165 |
| Mushy-Bacterium | Yes | 200 | $83 |
| Glamorous-Visor | No | 192 | $112 |
| Easy-Going-Browser | No | 160 | $94 |
| Kosher-Icebreaker | No | 148 | $87 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 94 | $55 |
| Spotless-Seller | No | 84 | $49 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.9% | $38 |
| Oct 24, 04:55 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 48.0% | $96 |
| Oct 24, 04:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 91.6% | $25 |
| Oct 22, 06:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.8% | $180 |
| Oct 22, 06:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.1% | $73 |
| Oct 21, 04:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.6% | $46 |
| Oct 20, 09:02 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 09:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $11 |
| Oct 18, 05:18 AM ET | No | SELL | 70.8% | $24 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 50 at 41.5%. Next is 20 at 14.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-coin-launched-in-2026-end-the-year-in-the-top?via=bro
$25.1K in total volume, with $269 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.coingecko.com/.
50, priced at 41.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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