As of October 24, 2026, 07:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 91.0% in Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? — $77.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 91.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.7 pts; past week: -0.2 pts; past month: +2.4 pts.
Since January 07, 2026, No has traded between 62.0% and 97.7%. It opened at 80.0% and last traded at 91.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 92.3% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 92.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 90.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 91.1% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 90.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 91.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 91.8% |
No is favored at 91.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 91¢ | 91.0% | -0.7 pts | $77.6K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 9¢ | 9.0% | +0.7 pts | $77.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 13¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$77.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 622 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| International-Spleen | No | 622 | $566 |
| Arid-Geek | Yes | 500 | $45 |
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 479 | $43 |
| Bitter-Cartoon | No | 300 | $273 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 165 | $15 |
| Untried-Budget | No | 148 | $134 |
| Vacant-Challenge | Yes | 131 | $12 |
| Weekly-Rating | No | 100 | $91 |
| Firsthand-Somersault | No | 86 | $78 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 84 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 12:43 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.5% | $0 |
| Oct 13, 06:39 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.1% | $10 |
| Oct 10, 07:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.2% | $15 |
| Oct 03, 09:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.2% | $57 |
| Oct 01, 03:53 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.9% | $345 |
| Sep 30, 07:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $155 |
| Sep 29, 06:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.6% | $3 |
| Sep 29, 06:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.5% | $3 |
| Sep 29, 06:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.5% | $3 |
| Sep 29, 05:55 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.5% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 91.0%. Next is Yes at 9.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-country-leave-brics-in-2026?via=bro
$77.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 91.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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