As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 91.0% in Will a European team reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage? — $2.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 91.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +7.5 pts; past week: +17.5 pts.
Since October 13, 2026, Yes has traded between 50.0% and 90.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 90.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 90.5% |
Yes is favored at 91.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 91¢ | 91.0% | +7.5 pts | $2.5K | 100.0% |
| No | 9¢ | 9.0% | -7.5 pts | $2.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 88¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.5K has been traded on this event in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one European team reaches the Knockout Stage of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A European team is a team that qualified for the tournament through the LEC (Europe / EMEA). Teams that qualified through the LCK, the LPL, the LCS, the LCP, or the CBLOL are not European teams. A team that enters the Swiss Stage through the Play-In keeps the region it qualified through. A team is considered to have reached the Knockout Stage if it is officially confirmed as one of the eight teams advancing from the Swiss Stage to the Knockout Stage (quarterfinals). If the Knockout Stage field is not determined by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the tournament is canceled or postponed past that date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Resolution source: https://lolesports.com
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 196 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smug-Snowman | Yes | 196 | $179 |
| All-Peasant-Drug | Yes | 139 | $126 |
| Quizzical-Hire | No | 110 | $10 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 102 | $9 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 70 | $6 |
| Remarkable-Underpass | No | 54 | $5 |
| Sarcastic-Valuable | Yes | 54 | $49 |
| Unique-Bandanna-Bumper | No | 50 | $5 |
| Frail-Granny | Yes | 50 | $46 |
| Expensive-Arrow-Nightclub | Yes | 50 | $46 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 91.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 91.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 94.0% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 93.0% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 7.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.0% | $48 |
| Oct 24, 04:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 9.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 04:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.0% | $92 |
| Oct 24, 11:22 AM ET | No | BUY | 11.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 11:22 AM ET | No | BUY | 11.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 91.0%. Next is No at 9.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-european-team-reach-the-worlds-2026-knockout-stage?via=bro
$2.5K in total volume, with $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://lolesports.com.
Yes, priced at 91.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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