As of October 24, 2026, 08:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 77.5% in Will a North American team reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage? — $2.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 77.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +27.0 pts; past week: +40.0 pts.
Since October 13, 2026, Yes has traded between 25.0% and 67.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 67.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 25.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 46.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 56.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 67.5% |
Yes is favored at 77.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 78¢ | 77.5% | +27.0 pts | $2.8K | 100.0% |
| No | 22¢ | 22.5% | -27.0 pts | $2.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 23¢ (bid 66¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.8K has been traded on this event in total, $533 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one North American team reaches the Knockout Stage of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A North American team is a team that qualified for the tournament through the LCS (North America). Teams that qualified through the LCK, the LPL, the LEC, the LCP, or the CBLOL are not North American teams. A team that enters the Swiss Stage through the Play-In keeps the region it qualified through. A team is considered to have reached the Knockout Stage if it is officially confirmed as one of the eight teams advancing from the Swiss Stage to the Knockout Stage (quarterfinals). If the Knockout Stage field is not determined by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the tournament is canceled or postponed past that date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Resolution source: https://lolesports.com
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,183 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wiry-Pint | No | 1,183 | $266 |
| Healthy-Inspector | Yes | 1,000 | $775 |
| Energetic-Poignance | Yes | 150 | $116 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 117 | $26 |
| Quizzical-Hire | No | 108 | $24 |
| Expensive-Arrow-Nightclub | Yes | 107 | $83 |
| Deafening-Drawbridge | No | 100 | $22 |
| Ancient-Organ | Yes | 91 | $71 |
| Known-Use | No | 79 | $18 |
| Elderly-Chino | Yes | 67 | $52 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 66.0% | $34 |
| Oct 24, 05:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $31 |
| Oct 24, 05:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 35.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 02:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 02:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 01:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 08:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 55.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 56.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $32 |
| Oct 24, 08:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $30 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 77.5%. Next is No at 22.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-north-american-team-reach-the-worlds-2026-knockout-stage?via=bro
$2.8K in total volume, with $533 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://lolesports.com.
Yes, priced at 77.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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