As of October 24, 2026, 08:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 60.4% in Man City to face transfer restriction by 2027 summer transfer window? — $4.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 60.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +8.1 pts; past week: +36.5 pts.
Since September 29, 2026, Yes has traded between 24.7% and 60.5%. It opened at 53.0% and last traded at 54.6%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 26.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 24.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 48.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 29.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 52.3% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 54.6% |
Yes is favored at 60.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60¢ | 60.4% | +8.1 pts | $4.6K | 100.0% |
| No | 40¢ | 39.6% | -8.1 pts | $4.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 27¢ (bid 47¢ / ask 74¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a transfer restriction imposed on Manchester City FC as a result of the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules takes effect at or before the official opening of the Premier League's 2027 summer transfer window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A transfer restriction is any sanction that bans or limits the club's ability to sign or register new players in one or more transfer windows, including registration embargoes and club-specific limits on transfer spending. A restriction will count only once it is in force against the club. A restriction that has been imposed but is suspended, stayed pending appeal, or scheduled to take effect after the opening of the 2027 summer transfer window will not count. Financial penalties alone will not count. If the 2027 summer transfer window has not opened by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on whether a transfer restriction has taken effect by that time. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League, the independent Regulatory Commission, the Appeal Board, or Manchester City FC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 237 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waterlogged-Revascularisation-Client | No | 237 | $94 |
| Trivial-Idea | Yes | 200 | $121 |
| Big-Repair | No | 152 | $60 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 119 | $72 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 109 | $43 |
| Awesome-Checkbook-Hose | No | 100 | $40 |
| Scared-Tower | Yes | 88 | $53 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 77 | $47 |
| Livid-Television | Yes | 50 | $30 |
| Bountiful-Disposer | Yes | 42 | $25 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 07:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 25.2% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 07:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 25.2% | $12 |
| Oct 21, 08:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 52.3% | $39 |
| Oct 20, 01:43 AM ET | No | SELL | 57.0% | $9 |
| Oct 20, 01:42 AM ET | No | SELL | 57.0% | $11 |
| Oct 19, 01:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 18.5% | $7 |
| Oct 19, 12:29 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 88.0% | $35 |
| Oct 19, 12:28 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 88.0% | $9 |
| Oct 19, 12:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 9.8% | $18 |
| Oct 19, 12:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 3.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 60.4%. Next is No at 39.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-transfer-restriction-on-manchester-city-be-applied-by-the-2027-summer-transfer-window?via=bro
$4.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 60.4% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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