Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 92.0% in Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? — $25.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
92%
A 92.0% price implies roughly a 92-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
30D +2.5 pts
No92.0%
Yes8.0%
Bid
5¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
6¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since February 24, 2026: 60.5% – 95.5% · Opened at 85.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
Category
Biden, Politics, Trump, voter fraud
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$25.2K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$1.7K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 92.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 92.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past month: +2.5 pts.

Since February 24, 2026, No has traded between 60.5% and 95.5%. It opened at 85.5% and last traded at 92.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202691.5%
Oct 18, 202692.0%
Oct 19, 202692.0%
Oct 20, 202691.5%
Oct 22, 202692.0%
Oct 23, 202692.0%
Oct 24, 202692.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 92.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No92¢92.0%—$25.2K100.0%
Yes8¢8.0%—$25.2K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$25.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any court in the United States issues a ruling that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of votes occurred in at least one US state during the 2020 United States Presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling is defined as any written order, judgement, opinion, or decision, including per curiam opinions, summary orders and sua sponte rulings issued by a relevant court. Unwritten oral rulings, tentative rulings, settlements, orders to show cause, or other procedures which do not constitute a finalized ruling will not count. A qualifying ruling of fraud must find that widespread, intentional voter fraud or vote-manipulation occured during the 2020 United States Presidential election. Procedural irregularities, administrative errors, or isolated rulings on individual cases of voter fraud will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,130 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Utilized-PublicationYes1,130$90
Happy-DinosaurNo841$774
Trivial-NewsstandYes826$66
Lumpy-StripNo783$720
Gifted-RancherNo600$552
Happy-ReputationYes454$36
Natural-VacationNo354$325
Content-WaterYes236$19
Honest-SimilarityNo206$190
Velvety-RutabagaNo200$184

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $216 at 19.2%SELL No — $209 at 93.4%BUY No — $85 at 94.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 15, 11:51 PM ETYesBUY11.0%$3
Oct 12, 01:15 AM ETYesBUY6.0%$1
Oct 12, 01:15 AM ETNoBUY94.0%$85
Oct 07, 01:55 AM ETYesBUY6.0%$1
Oct 07, 12:54 AM ETYesBUY7.0%$1
Oct 05, 06:55 PM ETYesBUY10.0%$0
Oct 05, 05:34 PM ETYesSELL10.0%$0
Oct 05, 01:36 PM ETNoSELL93.4%$209
Oct 03, 07:38 PM ETYesBUY5.0%$0
Oct 03, 08:19 AM ETYesBUY5.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 92.0%. Next is Yes at 8.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-us-court-rule-that-the-2020-election-was-fradulent?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent??

$25.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 92.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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