As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 92.0% in Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? — $25.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 92.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: +2.5 pts.
Since February 24, 2026, No has traded between 60.5% and 95.5%. It opened at 85.5% and last traded at 92.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 92.0% |
No is favored at 92.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92¢ | 92.0% | — | $25.2K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 8¢ | 8.0% | — | $25.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$25.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any court in the United States issues a ruling that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of votes occurred in at least one US state during the 2020 United States Presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling is defined as any written order, judgement, opinion, or decision, including per curiam opinions, summary orders and sua sponte rulings issued by a relevant court. Unwritten oral rulings, tentative rulings, settlements, orders to show cause, or other procedures which do not constitute a finalized ruling will not count. A qualifying ruling of fraud must find that widespread, intentional voter fraud or vote-manipulation occured during the 2020 United States Presidential election. Procedural irregularities, administrative errors, or isolated rulings on individual cases of voter fraud will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,130 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utilized-Publication | Yes | 1,130 | $90 |
| Happy-Dinosaur | No | 841 | $774 |
| Trivial-Newsstand | Yes | 826 | $66 |
| Lumpy-Strip | No | 783 | $720 |
| Gifted-Rancher | No | 600 | $552 |
| Happy-Reputation | Yes | 454 | $36 |
| Natural-Vacation | No | 354 | $325 |
| Content-Water | Yes | 236 | $19 |
| Honest-Similarity | No | 206 | $190 |
| Velvety-Rutabaga | No | 200 | $184 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 11:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $3 |
| Oct 12, 01:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 01:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $85 |
| Oct 07, 01:55 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 07, 12:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 06:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 05, 05:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 05, 01:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.4% | $209 |
| Oct 03, 07:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $0 |
| Oct 03, 08:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 92.0%. Next is Yes at 8.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-us-court-rule-that-the-2020-election-was-fradulent?via=bro
$25.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 92.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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