Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 81.0% in Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? — $5.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $538.
Leading outcome
No
81%
A 81.0% price implies roughly a 81-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +10.5 pts
No81.0%
Yes19.0%
Bid
18¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 02, 2026: 50.0% – 92.5% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?
Category
lol, Sports, Esports, Hide From New, league of legends, LoL Worlds 2026, props
Scheduled end
December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$5.6K
Volume (24h)
$538
Liquidity
$1.2K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 81.0%
Resolution source
https://lolesports.com

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 81.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +10.5 pts.

Since October 02, 2026, No has traded between 50.0% and 92.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 81.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202692.5%
Oct 16, 202691.0%
Oct 18, 202691.5%
Oct 19, 202687.0%
Oct 20, 202687.0%
Oct 22, 202688.0%
Oct 23, 202681.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 81.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No81¢81.0%—$5.6K100.0%
Yes19¢19.0%—$5.6K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 18¢ / ask 20¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$5.6K has been traded on this event in total, $538 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one Western team reaches the Grand Final of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Western team is a team that qualified for the tournament through the LEC (Europe / EMEA), the LCS (North America), or the CBLOL (Brazil). Teams that qualified through the LCK (South Korea), the LPL (China), or the LCP (Asia-Pacific) are not Western teams. A team that enters the Swiss Stage through the Play-In keeps the region it qualified through. A team is considered to have reached the Grand Final if it is one of the two teams officially confirmed as a participant in the Grand Final match, regardless of the Grand Final's outcome. If the Grand Final participants are not determined by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the tournament is canceled or postponed past that date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.

Resolution source: https://lolesports.com

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,427 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Luminous-HavenNo1,427$1.2K
Prickly-OffenseYes1,395$265
Complex-WearNo544$440
Stimulating-SpasmYes324$62
Gleeful-Receptor-ClosureYes150$28
Creamy-GeologyNo100$81
Snappy-RoosterNo81$65
Focused-UserYes56$11
Direct-ChainstayYes52$10
Grim-GarageYes51$10

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $236 at 78.5%BUY Yes — $195 at 14.0%BUY No — $125 at 87.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:15 PM ETYesBUY20.0%$10
Oct 24, 04:45 PM ETYesBUY21.0%$5
Oct 24, 02:44 PM ETYesBUY20.0%$1
Oct 24, 01:20 PM ETYesBUY20.0%$2
Oct 24, 01:10 PM ETYesBUY20.0%$2
Oct 24, 07:44 AM ETYesSELL19.5%$19
Oct 24, 06:42 AM ETYesBUY21.0%$6
Oct 24, 03:19 AM ETNoBUY81.0%$40
Oct 24, 03:19 AM ETYesSELL20.0%$40
Oct 24, 03:19 AM ETNoBUY81.0%$39

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 81.0%. Next is Yes at 19.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-western-team-reach-the-worlds-2026-grand-final?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final??

$5.6K in total volume, with $538 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://lolesports.com.

What is the most likely outcome of Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 81.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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