As of October 24, 2026, 07:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price March 31, 2027 at 4.0% in Will Abstract launch a token by ___? — $644.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, March 31, 2027, is priced at 4.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +0.3 pts; past month: -23.5 pts.
Since June 26, 2026, March 31, 2027 has traded between 1.2% and 58.5%. It opened at 22.0% and last traded at 4.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 3.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 3.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 3.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 3.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 3.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 3.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 4.0% |
March 31, 2027 is favored at 4.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2027 | 4¢ | 4.0% | +0.1 pts | $8.9K | 1.4% |
| June 30, 2027 | 4¢ | 3.9% | — | $9.9K | 1.5% |
| December 31, 2027 | 4¢ | 3.5% | -0.4 pts | $19.8K | 3.1% |
| September 30, 2027 | 3¢ | 3.2% | -0.1 pts | $11.4K | 1.8% |
| December 31, 2026 | 2¢ | 2.4% | -0.1 pts | $419.0K | 65.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$644.3K has been traded on this event in total, $581 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://x.com/abstractchain
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,082 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unusual-Arithmetic | No | 3,082 | $3.0K |
| Tremendous-Divide | Yes | 2,128 | $84 |
| Velvety-Patent | Yes | 1,125 | $44 |
| Far-Procurement | No | 595 | $571 |
| Separate-Conga | No | 527 | $506 |
| 0x52eb1e57… | Yes | 525 | $21 |
| Keen-Crocodile | No | 323 | $310 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 300 | $12 |
| Ignorant-Acre | No | 250 | $240 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 210 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.3% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $29 |
| Oct 24, 04:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.4% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 05:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 10:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.6% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 09:57 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.7% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 09:51 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.2% | $29 |
| Oct 20, 09:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 09:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.4% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 09:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.4% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is March 31, 2027 at 4.0%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 3.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-abstract-launch-a-token-in-2025?via=bro
$644.3K in total volume, with $581 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/abstractchain.
March 31, 2027, priced at 4.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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