As of October 24, 2026, 09:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 50.5% in Will all four home nations and Ireland qualify for Euro 2028? — $370 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 50.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +7.5 pts; past month: +27.5 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, Yes has traded between 19.5% and 69.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 50.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.5% |
Yes is favored at 50.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $370 | 100.0% |
| No | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $370 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 41¢ (bid 30¢ / ask 71¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$370 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end May 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all five of England, Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland are among the teams that take part in the UEFA Euro 2028 final tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A team counts as taking part regardless of the route by which it reaches the final tournament, including qualifying as a group winner, qualifying as a best runner-up, winning a play-off, or taking one of the two places reserved for host nations. If at any point it becomes impossible for all five listed teams to take part in UEFA Euro 2028, this market will resolve immediately to "No". If UEFA Euro 2028 is cancelled, postponed after June 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the final tournament participants have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 25 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Known-Use | Yes | 25 | $13 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Slim-Divine | No | 20 | $10 |
| Sniveling-Developmental-Lantern | No | 20 | $10 |
| Speedy-Spine-Rowing | No | 20 | $10 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 15 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 04:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 42.0% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 04:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 39.0% | $2 |
| Oct 10, 05:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 57.0% | $11 |
| Oct 10, 12:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 38.0% | $8 |
| Oct 10, 12:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 37.0% | $7 |
| Oct 10, 12:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 37.0% | $15 |
| Oct 10, 12:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 63.0% | $63 |
| Oct 03, 08:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.2% | $14 |
| Sep 27, 09:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 52.0% | $10 |
| Sep 26, 04:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 24.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 50.5%. Next is No at 49.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-all-four-home-nations-and-ireland-qualify-for-euro-2028?via=bro
$370 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end May 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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