As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 83.5% in Will AlloX launch a token by ___? — $6.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 83.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: +2.0 pts.
Since October 06, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 76.0% and 88.0%. It opened at 84.0% and last traded at 83.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 83.5% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 83.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 84¢ | 83.5% | -1.0 pts | $655 | 10.1% |
| December 31, 2026 | 68¢ | 68.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.6K | 24.0% |
| November 30, 2026 | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.5 pts | $2.4K | 37.3% |
| October 31, 2026 | 20¢ | 20.0% | — | $1.9K | 28.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 11¢ (bid 78¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.5K has been traded on this event in total, $78 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if AlloX officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by AlloX after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from AlloX (https://x.com/alloxdotai), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 149 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 149 | $25 |
| Delectable-Census | Yes | 112 | $93 |
| Alienated-Cayenne | Yes | 55 | $46 |
| Speedy-Bartender | No | 28 | $5 |
| Flowery-Cuticle | Yes | 17 | $14 |
| Known-Use | No | 13 | $2 |
| Dependable-Lily-Comb | Yes | 12 | $10 |
| Exemplary-Decisionmaking | No | 5 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 34.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 67.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 33.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 33.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 67.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 01:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 53.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 04:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 48.0% | $15 |
| Oct 21, 12:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 04:13 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $36 |
| Oct 20, 02:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 53.0% | $38 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 83.5%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 68.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-allox-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$6.5K in total volume, with $78 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2027, priced at 83.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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