As of October 24, 2026, 07:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 11.0% in Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___? — $104.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 11.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -4.0 pts; past month: -4.0 pts.
Since July 02, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 8.0% and 50.0%. It opened at 28.5% and last traded at 11.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 15.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 15.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 15.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 11.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 11.0% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 11.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 11¢ | 11.0% | — | $13.4K | 12.8% |
| June 30, 2027 | 10¢ | 9.5% | +0.5 pts | $5.5K | 5.3% |
| December 31, 2026 | 5¢ | 5.1% | — | $85.2K | 81.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 12¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$104.1K has been traded on this event in total, $270 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 540 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Helpful-Adoption | No | 540 | $481 |
| Flawed-Skunk | Yes | 362 | $40 |
| Vacant-Subject | No | 252 | $225 |
| Jam-Packed-Dividend | No | 165 | $147 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 126 | $14 |
| Amazing-Pad | No | 120 | $107 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 111 | $12 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 102 | $11 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 82 | $73 |
| Sharp-Newsletter | Yes | 72 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.4% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 06:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:05 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.7% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.3% | $57 |
| Oct 24, 06:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.2% | $147 |
| Oct 22, 06:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.2% | $325 |
| Oct 22, 09:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.8% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 11:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.5% | $19 |
| Oct 21, 11:58 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 06:29 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.1% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 11.0%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 9.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ansem-flip-pump-by-20260702152126828?via=bro
$104.1K in total volume, with $270 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull.
December 31, 2027, priced at 11.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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