Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 8.5% in Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...? — $60.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $181.
Leading outcome
December 31
8%
A 8.5% price implies roughly a 8-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −0.5 pts30D −5.0 pts
December 318.5%
October 311.5%
Bid
8¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since September 03, 2026: 8.5% – 31.5% · Opened at 25.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?
Category
World, Russia, Ukraine, Politics, Geopolitics
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET
Total volume
$60.0K
Volume (24h)
$181
Liquidity
$24.5K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
December 31 — 8.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 8.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -5.0 pts.

Since September 03, 2026, December 31 has traded between 8.5% and 31.5%. It opened at 25.0% and last traded at 8.5%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 20269.0%
Oct 18, 20268.5%
Oct 19, 20268.5%
Oct 20, 20269.0%
Oct 22, 20268.5%
Oct 23, 20268.5%
Oct 24, 20268.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 8.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 318¢8.5%—$22.3K37.2%
October 311¢1.5%-0.6 pts$25.2K42.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 8¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$60.0K has been traded on this event in total, $181 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

Ukrainian airspace has been closed to air traffic since the full-scale invasion by the Russian Federation on February 24, 2022. Boryspil International Airport (KBP / UKBB), located near Kyiv, suspended all routine operations immediately following the start of hostilities, and routine and general flights remain suspended. This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Eligible flights include any manned fixed-wing aircraft or rotorcraft (helicopter), regardless of registration, owner, or purpose (e.g., commercial passenger, cargo, military transport, diplomatic or state flight, technical ferry, or emergency landing). Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, drones, or loitering munitions), touch-and-go passes without a full touchdown and stop or taxi, and landings or departures occurring outside the physical boundaries of Boryspil International Airport will not count toward the resolution of this market. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 572 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0x4e84ce15…Yes572$49
Dead-PossibilityNo300$274
Bitter-CartoonNo282$258
Wobbly-SwingYes230$20
Tremendous-DivideYes222$19
Sorrowful-DownNo200$183
Yellow-BotherNo170$155
Vengeful-NetsukeNo164$150
Breakable-SimplificationNo100$92
Snappy-RoosterYes82$7

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $434 at 96.5%BUY No — $253 at 97.0%BUY No — $200 at 98.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:13 PM ETNoBUY99.2%$1
Oct 24, 09:43 AM ETNoBUY98.9%$99
Oct 24, 07:39 AM ETYesBUY2.9%$1
Oct 24, 07:33 AM ETYesBUY2.9%$1
Oct 23, 01:43 AM ETNoBUY98.9%$200
Oct 22, 01:38 PM ETNoBUY98.8%$46
Oct 22, 01:38 PM ETNoBUY98.4%$76
Oct 22, 12:47 PM ETNoBUY98.4%$15
Oct 22, 02:18 AM ETYesSELL8.0%$2
Oct 21, 10:30 AM ETNoBUY98.8%$5

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 8.5%. Next is October 31 at 1.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-aircraft-land-or-take-off-at-kyiv-boryspil-airport-by?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...??

$60.0K in total volume, with $181 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 8.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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