As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 8.5% in Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...? — $60.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 8.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -5.0 pts.
Since September 03, 2026, December 31 has traded between 8.5% and 31.5%. It opened at 25.0% and last traded at 8.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 9.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 8.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 8.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 9.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 8.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 8.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 8.5% |
December 31 is favored at 8.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $22.3K | 37.2% |
| October 31 | 1¢ | 1.5% | -0.6 pts | $25.2K | 42.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 8¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$60.0K has been traded on this event in total, $181 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
Ukrainian airspace has been closed to air traffic since the full-scale invasion by the Russian Federation on February 24, 2022. Boryspil International Airport (KBP / UKBB), located near Kyiv, suspended all routine operations immediately following the start of hostilities, and routine and general flights remain suspended. This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Eligible flights include any manned fixed-wing aircraft or rotorcraft (helicopter), regardless of registration, owner, or purpose (e.g., commercial passenger, cargo, military transport, diplomatic or state flight, technical ferry, or emergency landing). Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, drones, or loitering munitions), touch-and-go passes without a full touchdown and stop or taxi, and landings or departures occurring outside the physical boundaries of Boryspil International Airport will not count toward the resolution of this market. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 572 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4e84ce15… | Yes | 572 | $49 |
| Dead-Possibility | No | 300 | $274 |
| Bitter-Cartoon | No | 282 | $258 |
| Wobbly-Swing | Yes | 230 | $20 |
| Tremendous-Divide | Yes | 222 | $19 |
| Sorrowful-Down | No | 200 | $183 |
| Yellow-Bother | No | 170 | $155 |
| Vengeful-Netsuke | No | 164 | $150 |
| Breakable-Simplification | No | 100 | $92 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 82 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.2% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $99 |
| Oct 24, 07:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.9% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:33 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.9% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 01:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $200 |
| Oct 22, 01:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.8% | $46 |
| Oct 22, 01:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.4% | $76 |
| Oct 22, 12:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.4% | $15 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 10:30 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.8% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 8.5%. Next is October 31 at 1.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-aircraft-land-or-take-off-at-kyiv-boryspil-airport-by?via=bro
$60.0K in total volume, with $181 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 8.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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