As of October 24, 2026, 09:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 61.0% in Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Cape Verde election? — $31 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 61.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +11.5 pts; past week: -4.0 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, Yes has traded between 49.5% and 65.0%. It opened at 52.5% and last traded at 61.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 65.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 61.0% |
Yes is favored at 61.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61¢ | 61.0% | +11.5 pts | $31 | 100.0% |
| No | 39¢ | 39.0% | -11.5 pts | $31 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 64¢ (bid 29¢ / ask 93¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$31 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round on November 29, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Cape Verdean government, specifically the National Commission of Elections (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://cne.cv/).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 20 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Primary-Agent | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| Wet-Event | No | 20 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 04:42 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 47.0% | $3 |
| Oct 13, 04:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $5 |
| Oct 13, 02:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 61.0%. Next is No at 39.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-the-cape-verde-election?via=bro
$31 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 61.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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