Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:35 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 71.9% in Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? — $61.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $821.
Leading outcome
No
72%
A 71.9% price implies roughly a 72-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −1.5 pts7D −1.2 pts30D +15.0 pts
No71.9%
Yes28.1%
Bid
27¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since July 08, 2026: 6.0% – 87.0% · Opened at 43.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
Category
AI, Tech, Compute, Politics, AI Regulation
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$61.2K
Volume (24h)
$821
Liquidity
$16.4K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 71.9%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 71.9%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: -1.2 pts; past month: +15.0 pts.

Since July 08, 2026, No has traded between 6.0% and 87.0%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 71.9%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202670.7%
Oct 18, 202672.0%
Oct 19, 202672.2%
Oct 20, 202671.8%
Oct 22, 202671.5%
Oct 23, 202669.7%
Oct 24, 202671.9%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 71.9%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No72¢71.9%+1.5 pts$61.2K100.0%
Yes28¢28.1%-1.5 pts$61.2K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 27¢ / ask 29¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$61.2K has been traded on this event in total, $821 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state. Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium. Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 7,092 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Short-Term-CriminalNo7,092$5.1K
Crazy-FishmongerYes3,088$868
Exotic-PrizeNo1,707$1.2K
Flamboyant-WarmingYes1,156$325
Perfumed-MoatYes1,104$310
Beautiful-PlaintiffYes1,039$292
Subdued-PastaYes866$243
Unwritten-HybridizationYes693$195
Turbulent-Decline-RouterYes407$114
Charming-GrapeYes339$95

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $139 at 31.0%BUY No — $20 at 70.6%BUY No — $14 at 70.1%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:01 PM ETYesBUY28.9%$5
Oct 24, 05:57 PM ETYesBUY29.0%$6
Oct 24, 05:57 PM ETYesBUY29.0%$6
Oct 24, 05:57 PM ETYesBUY28.9%$6
Oct 24, 05:57 PM ETYesBUY29.0%$6
Oct 24, 05:57 PM ETYesBUY27.3%$10
Oct 24, 05:56 PM ETYesBUY27.2%$14
Oct 24, 05:51 PM ETYesBUY27.1%$5
Oct 24, 03:45 PM ETYesSELL18.6%$4
Oct 24, 03:06 PM ETYesBUY26.6%$11

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 71.9%. Next is Yes at 28.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-state-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-20260707003733282?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31??

$61.2K in total volume, with $821 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 71.9% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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