As of October 24, 2026, 07:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 93.5% in Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? — $143.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 93.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: +1.0 pts.
Since February 02, 2026, No has traded between 55.0% and 95.0%. It opened at 68.5% and last traded at 93.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 93.5% |
No is favored at 93.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94¢ | 93.5% | +3.0 pts | $143.6K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 6¢ | 6.5% | -3.0 pts | $143.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 8¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$143.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,347 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moist-Entity | No | 10,347 | $9.7K |
| Brisk-Republic | Yes | 3,896 | $253 |
| Careful-Palace | Yes | 2,791 | $181 |
| Glittering-Octave | No | 2,141 | $2.0K |
| Capital-Endoderm | Yes | 1,726 | $112 |
| Bleak-Full | No | 1,521 | $1.4K |
| Palatable-Argument | No | 1,288 | $1.2K |
| Dear-Closet | No | 1,206 | $1.1K |
| Peppery-Capital | No | 1,000 | $935 |
| Black-And-White-Kit | Yes | 873 | $57 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 11:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 11:42 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $5 |
| Oct 19, 10:20 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.6% | $11 |
| Oct 10, 01:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.5% | $5 |
| Oct 09, 11:01 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $5 |
| Oct 05, 05:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 01:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $17 |
| Oct 05, 01:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 03, 12:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $1 |
| Oct 01, 10:20 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $56 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 93.5%. Next is Yes at 6.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-anyone-be-charged-over-epstein-disclosures?via=bro
$143.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 93.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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