As of October 24, 2026, 07:46 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 93.5% in Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? — $343.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 93.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +1.7 pts; past month: +2.4 pts.
Since February 02, 2026, No has traded between 78.0% and 97.0%. It opened at 86.0% and last traded at 93.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 95.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.1% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 93.5% |
No is favored at 93.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94¢ | 93.5% | +0.1 pts | $343.7K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 6¢ | 6.5% | -0.1 pts | $343.7K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 8¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$343.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any individual serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison, and the cause of that incarceration is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying incarceration must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of incarceration may be established through official charging documents, court rulings, sentencing statements, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the incarceration to information contained in those released files. Incarceration driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official court records or government statements, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 15,278 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moist-Entity | No | 15,278 | $14.3K |
| Determined-Percentage | No | 9,321 | $8.7K |
| Quizzical-Discussion | No | 8,936 | $8.4K |
| Brisk-Republic | Yes | 7,000 | $455 |
| Minty-Vane | No | 4,916 | $4.6K |
| Waterlogged-Arrest | Yes | 3,200 | $208 |
| Ample-Instance | No | 2,964 | $2.8K |
| Definitive-Stew | Yes | 2,679 | $174 |
| Male-Advance | Yes | 2,536 | $165 |
| traboukos | No | 2,402 | $2.2K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 11:43 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.6% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 09:40 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.6% | $21 |
| Oct 10, 12:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.2% | $1 |
| Oct 10, 12:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.3% | $3 |
| Oct 06, 01:33 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.5% | $0 |
| Oct 05, 01:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.8% | $32 |
| Oct 05, 01:37 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.9% | $2 |
| Oct 05, 01:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.8% | $48 |
| Oct 05, 01:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.8% | $19 |
| Oct 05, 01:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.8% | $38 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 93.5%. Next is Yes at 6.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-anyone-be-jailed-over-epstein-disclosures?via=bro
$343.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 93.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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