As of October 24, 2026, 06:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 98.3% in Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? — $136.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 98.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.4 pts; past week: +9.3 pts; past month: +33.8 pts.
Since March 05, 2026, Yes has traded between 29.0% and 98.3%. It opened at 58.5% and last traded at 98.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 93.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.3% |
Yes is favored at 98.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 98¢ | 98.3% | +1.4 pts | $136.3K | 100.0% |
| No | 2¢ | 1.7% | -1.4 pts | $136.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$136.3K has been traded on this event in total, $6.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 9,381 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grave-Truth | Yes | 9,381 | $9.2K |
| Unfinished-Cardigan | Yes | 7,041 | $6.9K |
| Squiggly-Hundred | No | 5,917 | $101 |
| Playful-Week | Yes | 5,850 | $5.8K |
| Real-Prey | No | 4,816 | $82 |
| Yearly-Octave-Lantern | No | 4,705 | $80 |
| Bleak-Full | Yes | 3,907 | $3.8K |
| Verifiable-Announcement | Yes | 3,542 | $3.5K |
| Watery-Pilaf-Usher | No | 3,391 | $58 |
| Puzzled-Internet | No | 3,187 | $54 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 1.7% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:03 PM ET | No | SELL | 1.5% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 98.1% | $324 |
| Oct 24, 02:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 1.9% | $21 |
| Oct 24, 11:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.4% | $39 |
| Oct 24, 10:33 AM ET | No | BUY | 1.9% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 2.0% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 02:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.0% | $467 |
| Oct 24, 02:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.0% | $434 |
| Oct 24, 02:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 3.0% | $17 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 98.3%. Next is No at 1.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-release-a-touchscreen-macbook-in-2026?via=bro
$136.3K in total volume, with $6.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 98.3% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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