As of October 24, 2026, 07:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 2.5% in Will Argentina dollarize by...? — $49.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 2.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.2 pts; past month: -2.4 pts.
Since June 28, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 2.5% and 50.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 2.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 2.8% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 2.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 2.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 2.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 2.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 2.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 2.5% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 2.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 3¢ | 2.5% | — | $20.0K | 40.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$49.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,117 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunny-Mix | No | 2,117 | $2.1K |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere | Yes | 1,360 | $35 |
| Darling-Top | No | 359 | $350 |
| 0xc7e88a70… | Yes | 294 | $7 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 204 | $5 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 185 | $5 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 160 | $4 |
| 0x6b0ebbef… | Yes | 133 | $3 |
| Insignificant-Foreigner | No | 114 | $111 |
| Courageous-Jam | Yes | 76 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.2% | $1 |
| Oct 06, 01:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.7% | $79 |
| Oct 04, 08:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.2% | $14 |
| Oct 04, 08:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.4% | $390 |
| Oct 04, 04:39 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.0% | $151 |
| Oct 01, 08:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.9% | $1 |
| Oct 01, 11:37 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 01, 01:48 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.9% | $2 |
| Oct 01, 01:48 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.9% | $0 |
| Oct 01, 01:46 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.9% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 2.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-argentina-dollarize-by-june-30-2026?via=bro
$49.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 2.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.