As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 68.5% in Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ? — $204.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 68.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.5 pts; past month: +25.5 pts.
Since May 21, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 28.5% and 79.5%. It opened at 51.0% and last traded at 68.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 68.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 61.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 68.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 68.5% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 68.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 68¢ | 68.5% | — | $7.5K | 3.7% |
| December 31, 2026 | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $181.6K | 88.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 27¢ (bid 55¢ / ask 82¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$204.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Axiom officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Axiom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 206 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 206 | $141 |
| Glamorous-Visor | No | 154 | $48 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 90 | $28 |
| First-Sphere | Yes | 60 | $41 |
| Sneaky-Stationwagon | Yes | 30 | $21 |
| Hurtful-Nuke | No | 30 | $9 |
| Plastic-Duck | No | 28 | $9 |
| 0xd1778fa8… | Yes | 17 | $12 |
| Fragrant-Lacquerware-Sill | Yes | 15 | $10 |
| Ashamed-Wok | No | 15 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 06:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 59.0% | $18 |
| Oct 21, 12:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 12:46 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $12 |
| Oct 18, 02:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 05:04 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $41 |
| Oct 14, 01:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $44 |
| Oct 14, 10:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 41.0% | $12 |
| Oct 13, 04:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.0% | $70 |
| Oct 10, 10:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $2 |
| Sep 30, 05:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 51.0% | $18 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 68.5%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 6.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-axiom-launch-a-token-in-2025?via=bro
$204.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2027, priced at 68.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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