As of October 24, 2026, 09:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 85.0% in Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026? — $1.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 85.0%.
Since January 29, 2026, No has traded between 17.0% and 85.5%. It opened at 47.0% and last traded at 85.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 85.0% |
No is favored at 85.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 85¢ | 85.0% | — | $1.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 15¢ | 15.0% | — | $1.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 11¢ / ask 19¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bitcoin Korea Premium Index reaches 8 or higher at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be CryptoQuant, specifically the Korea Premium Index chart available at: https://cryptoquant.com/asset/btc/chart/market-data/korea-premium-index Daily values shown on the chart will be used. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. If the primary resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on a consensus of other credible crypto data sources tracking the Korea (Kimchi) premium.
Resolution source: https://cryptoquant.com/asset/btc/chart/market-data/korea-premium-index
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 165 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Small-Pompom | No | 165 | $140 |
| True-Highlight | Yes | 64 | $10 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 56 | $8 |
| Keen-Hotdog | No | 50 | $42 |
| Original-Anything-Petition | Yes | 48 | $7 |
| Foolhardy-Zebra | No | 35 | $30 |
| Extroverted-Crop | Yes | 20 | $3 |
| Icky-Bladder | Yes | 19 | $3 |
| Wiry-Grabbag | Yes | 17 | $2 |
| Major-Brush | Yes | 15 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 08:55 AM ET | No | SELL | 81.0% | $8 |
| Oct 03, 09:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $7 |
| Aug 21, 07:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 71.7% | $16 |
| Aug 17, 02:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $1 |
| Aug 07, 02:02 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $26 |
| Aug 05, 04:51 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.8% | $3 |
| Jul 11, 09:44 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.0% | $0 |
| Jul 11, 09:20 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $1 |
| Jul 11, 09:08 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.0% | $1 |
| Jul 11, 06:50 AM ET | No | SELL | 70.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 85.0%. Next is Yes at 15.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-kimchi-premium-hit-8-in-2026?via=bro
$1.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://cryptoquant.com/asset/btc/chart/market-data/korea-premium-index.
No, priced at 85.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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