As of October 24, 2026, 09:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $51B at 81.5% in Will Booking (BKNG) Q3 gross bookings be above __? — $1.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $51B, is priced at 81.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.0 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, $51B has traded between 55.5% and 81.5%. It opened at 55.5% and last traded at 81.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 81.5% |
$51B is favored at 81.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $51B | 82¢ | 81.5% | — | $589 | 38.8% |
| $53B | 55¢ | 54.5% | +7.0 pts | $370 | 24.4% |
| $55B | 18¢ | 18.5% | -8.0 pts | $298 | 19.6% |
| $57B | 14¢ | 14.0% | -5.0 pts | $262 | 17.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 17¢ (bid 73¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.5K has been traded on this event in total, $86 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Booking's gross bookings for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, are above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 152 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 152 | $28 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | Yes | 40 | $32 |
| Primary-Weather-Bungalow | Yes | 38 | $31 |
| LIBAI | Yes | 38 | $31 |
| Bumpy-Conscience | Yes | 20 | $16 |
| Purple-Warlock | Yes | 20 | $16 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | No | 8 | $1 |
| Far-Off-Hose | Yes | 2 | $2 |
| These-Woodshed | Yes | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:04 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 54.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 11:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 11:04 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 07:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $32 |
| Oct 23, 06:13 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 82.0% | $31 |
| Oct 23, 04:34 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 03:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 07:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 18.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 05:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is $51B at 81.5%. Next is $53B at 54.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-booking-bkng-q3-gross-bookings-be-above-20261008120126000?via=bro
$1.5K in total volume, with $86 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.
$51B, priced at 81.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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