As of October 24, 2026, 08:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 89.0% in Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? — $38.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 89.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -3.5 pts; past month: -3.5 pts.
Since January 07, 2026, No has traded between 24.0% and 90.0%. It opened at 24.0% and last traded at 89.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 89.0% |
No is favored at 89.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 89¢ | 89.0% | — | $38.5K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 11¢ | 11.0% | — | $38.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 13¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$38.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,220 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frivolous-Painting | Yes | 1,220 | $134 |
| Plastic-Larder | No | 767 | $682 |
| Same-Deodorant | No | 659 | $587 |
| Stunning-Headquarters | No | 211 | $188 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery | Yes | 200 | $22 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen | Yes | 196 | $22 |
| Mean-Fear | No | 157 | $140 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 153 | $137 |
| Decent-Corporal | Yes | 150 | $16 |
| Glum-Ecliptic | Yes | 125 | $14 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 10:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $15 |
| Oct 18, 10:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $12 |
| Oct 15, 09:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 84.6% | $8 |
| Oct 12, 03:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 85.0% | $3 |
| Oct 10, 08:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $9 |
| Oct 08, 04:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 84.0% | $11 |
| Oct 05, 01:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 84.0% | $15 |
| Oct 03, 01:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $3 |
| Sep 17, 11:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $1 |
| Sep 14, 01:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 89.0%. Next is Yes at 11.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-brics-add-a-new-member-in-2026?via=bro
$38.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics.
No, priced at 89.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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