As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 70.5% in Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027? — $9.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 70.5%.
Since October 23, 2026, No has traded between 70.0% and 70.5%. It opened at 70.0% and last traded at 70.5%.
No is favored at 70.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 70¢ | 70.5% | — | $9.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 30¢ | 29.5% | — | $9.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 29¢ / ask 30¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.1K has been traded on this event in total, $66 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bryan Johnson announces that he has dunked a basketball, as accepted by him as a successful completion of his challenge, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Bryan Johnson or his team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 834 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overcooked-Banquette | Yes | 834 | $246 |
| Distant-Proponent | Yes | 753 | $222 |
| Obvious-Eyebrow | No | 399 | $281 |
| Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus | Yes | 341 | $101 |
| Parallel-Transparency | No | 287 | $203 |
| This-Wiretap | No | 287 | $202 |
| Euphoric-Flan | Yes | 283 | $83 |
| Thorny-Oversight | No | 267 | $188 |
| Electric-Interpretation | Yes | 264 | $78 |
| Writhing-Round | Yes | 250 | $74 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 70.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 01:40 AM ET | No | SELL | 70.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 11:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 11:04 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 29.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 01:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 12:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 69.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 12:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $35 |
| Oct 23, 12:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $180 |
| Oct 23, 10:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 67.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 10:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 67.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 70.5%. Next is Yes at 29.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-bryan-johnson-dunk-before-2027-2?via=bro
$9.1K in total volume, with $66 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 70.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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