Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 94.0% in Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year? — $919 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $11.
Leading outcome
No
94%
A 94.0% price implies roughly a 94-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +0.5 pts30D −10.5 pts
No94.0%
Yes6.0%
Bid
3¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
6¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 04, 2026: 50.0% – 95.5% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year?
Category
lol, Sports, Esports, league of legends
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$919
Volume (24h)
$11
Liquidity
$233
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 94.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 94.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.5 pts; past month: -10.5 pts.

Since August 04, 2026, No has traded between 50.0% and 95.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 94.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202695.5%
Oct 18, 202694.5%
Oct 19, 202694.5%
Oct 20, 202694.5%
Oct 23, 202694.0%
Oct 24, 202694.0%
Oct 24, 202694.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 94.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No94¢94.0%—$919100.0%
Yes6¢6.0%—$919100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$919 has been traded on this event in total, $11 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve "Yes" if Caedrel reaches the Challenger rank in League of Legends solo/duo ranked queue on any server on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". "Reaching Challenger" means Caedrel's account attains the Challenger tier in the ranked solo/duo queue, as displayed in the official in-game ranked ladder or on his verified account, at any point during the market period. Reaching Challenger in flex queue does not count unless otherwise specified. The account must be one publicly identified as belonging to Caedrel and streamed or otherwise confirmed as his. Reaching Challenger on a smurf or alternate account still counts, provided it is verifiably his and he publicly demonstrates it (e.g., on stream). If Caedrel is confirmed to have reached Challenger at any point in the period — even briefly — this market resolves "Yes". The primary resolution source will be the official League of Legends ranked ladder (via the in-game client or op.gg / official Riot data for his verified account) and Caedrel's official streams or channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 273 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Odd-AntYes273$16
Same-KidneyNo198$186
Cumbersome-BiplaneNo77$73
Quizzical-HireNo69$65
Good-Gram-ProstacyclinYes50$3
Sarcastic-ValuableNo40$38
Ready-TrophyYes34$2
Gummy-EclipseYes20$1
Mortified-WetlandYes20$1
Awkward-WreckerNo13$12

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $71 at 70.0%BUY Yes — $52 at 19.1%BUY No — $43 at 72.3%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:07 PM ETYesBUY9.0%$1
Oct 13, 02:35 AM ETYesSELL5.0%$0
Sep 30, 08:03 AM ETYesSELL3.9%$3
Sep 24, 05:34 AM ETNoSELL78.1%$6
Sep 16, 12:21 AM ETYesBUY29.0%$10
Sep 16, 12:20 AM ETYesBUY11.9%$9
Sep 12, 10:28 AM ETNoBUY92.0%$37
Sep 08, 04:39 PM ETNoSELL87.0%$2
Sep 07, 04:12 PM ETNoSELL73.0%$1
Sep 06, 09:40 AM ETNoSELL73.2%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 94.0%. Next is Yes at 6.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-caedrel-reach-challenger-before-the-end-of-the-year-20260803221259035?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year??

$919 in total volume, with $11 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 94.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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