As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 98.2% in Will Cambria launch a token by ___? — $154.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 98.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.0 pts; past week: +1.1 pts; past month: +2.2 pts.
Since May 20, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 50.5% and 98.7%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 95.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 97.1% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.1% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 98.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 98¢ | 98.2% | +3.0 pts | $15.8K | 10.3% |
| June 30, 2027 | 98¢ | 97.7% | -0.9 pts | $24.5K | 15.9% |
| December 31, 2026 | 90¢ | 90.5% | +0.5 pts | $42.4K | 27.5% |
| March 31, 2027 | 52¢ | 51.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| September 30, 2027 | 52¢ | 51.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$154.1K has been traded on this event in total, $428 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cambria officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Cambria will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://x.com/playcambria
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 832 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inexperienced-Tail | Yes | 832 | $816 |
| Useful-Credit | Yes | 500 | $491 |
| Subdued-Revenant | No | 463 | $9 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 454 | $8 |
| Elastic-Threat | No | 398 | $7 |
| Swift-Toast | Yes | 300 | $295 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 225 | $4 |
| Keen-Crocodile | Yes | 211 | $207 |
| Quizzical-Hire | No | 170 | $3 |
| Evil-Row | No | 139 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:54 PM ET | No | SELL | 9.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 01:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 3.5% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 96.4% | $29 |
| Oct 24, 01:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 3.6% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 10:54 AM ET | No | BUY | 2.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 10:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 12.8% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 10:35 AM ET | No | BUY | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 10:35 AM ET | No | BUY | 11.9% | $18 |
| Oct 23, 08:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 10.1% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 08:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 10.2% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 98.2%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 97.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-cambria-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$154.1K in total volume, with $428 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/playcambria.
December 31, 2027, priced at 98.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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