As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 75.0% in Will Cashmere launch a token by ___? — $7.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 75.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.5 pts.
Since October 19, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 75.0% and 78.5%. It opened at 78.5% and last traded at 75.0%.
December 31, 2027 is favored at 75.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 75¢ | 75.0% | -2.5 pts | $2.7K | 37.7% |
| June 30, 2027 | 66¢ | 66.0% | -3.5 pts | $2.1K | 29.1% |
| March 31, 2027 | 61¢ | 61.0% | -3.5 pts | $1.7K | 23.2% |
| December 31, 2026 | 48¢ | 48.5% | -3.0 pts | $716 | 10.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 74¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.2K has been traded on this event in total, $160 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cashmere officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Cashmere after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Cashmere (https://x.com/cashmerelabs), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 205 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Present-Lava | Yes | 205 | $153 |
| Jam-Packed-Dividend | Yes | 200 | $150 |
| Fickle-Halt-Window | No | 166 | $41 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 102 | $26 |
| Speedy-Bartender | No | 86 | $21 |
| Wretched-Myth-Downfall | No | 20 | $5 |
| Shrill-Haversack | Yes | 15 | $11 |
| Possible-Full | No | 10 | $2 |
| Knowing-Modification-Fob | No | 10 | $2 |
| Glamorous-Maternity-Anxiety | No | 10 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 24.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 12:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 75.0% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 09:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 23.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 07:45 AM ET | No | SELL | 30.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 07:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 03:04 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 78.0% | $23 |
| Oct 23, 03:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 07:02 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 78.0% | $67 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 70.0% | $21 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 75.0%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 66.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-cashmere-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$7.2K in total volume, with $160 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2027, priced at 75.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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