As of October 24, 2026, 06:35 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 49.0% in Will Chaos Labs launch a token by ___? — $29.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 49.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +5.5 pts; past month: +27.5 pts.
Since June 26, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 9.0% and 56.5%. It opened at 56.5% and last traded at 49.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 42.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 47.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 46.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 45.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 49.0% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 49.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 49¢ | 49.0% | -0.5 pts | $10.4K | 35.0% |
| September 30, 2027 | 40¢ | 40.0% | +0.5 pts | $9.5K | 31.9% |
| June 30, 2027 | 19¢ | 19.0% | +4.5 pts | $6.4K | 21.6% |
| March 31, 2027 | 16¢ | 16.0% | — | $1.2K | 4.0% |
| December 31, 2026 | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $704 | 2.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 48¢ / ask 50¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$29.8K has been traded on this event in total, $647 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chaos Labs officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Chaos Labs will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Chaos Labs (https://x.com/chaoslabs), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://x.com/chaoslabs
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 84 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Known-Use | No | 84 | $43 |
| Creamy-Geology | No | 54 | $28 |
| 0x2d48c834… | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Wet-Event | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Speedy-Bartender | No | 39 | $20 |
| Grizzled-Strudel | Yes | 32 | $16 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 24 | $12 |
| Amazing-Pad | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Lumbering-Propane | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Fuzzy-Draft | No | 16 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 09:54 AM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 09:53 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 38.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 09:53 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 47.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 07:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 07:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 07:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 07:03 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 07:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $50 |
| Oct 24, 07:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.5% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 49.0%. Next is September 30, 2027 at 40.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-chaos-labs-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$29.8K in total volume, with $647 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/chaoslabs.
December 31, 2027, priced at 49.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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