As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.9% in Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? — $1.12M traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -0.2 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 85.5% and 98.5%. It opened at 86.0% and last traded at 97.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.9% |
No is favored at 97.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 97.9% | +0.1 pts | $1.12M | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 2.1% | -0.1 pts | $1.12M | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.12M has been traded on this event in total, $239 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,263 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exhausted-Tanktop | No | 10,263 | $10.0K |
| Qualified-Hypothermia | Yes | 7,002 | $147 |
| Fixed-Reversal | Yes | 6,231 | $131 |
| Useless-Clamp | Yes | 5,826 | $122 |
| Smoggy-Cover | Yes | 5,752 | $121 |
| Instructive-Graffiti | Yes | 3,791 | $80 |
| Reckless-Producer | No | 3,680 | $3.6K |
| Rewarding-Grief | Yes | 2,917 | $61 |
| 0xac7565eb… | Yes | 2,742 | $58 |
| Smug-Appetite | Yes | 2,685 | $56 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:29 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.5% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.6% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.4% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.5% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 05:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.9% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 02:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.5% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 06:22 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.1% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 04:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 04:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 03:10 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.1% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.9%. Next is Yes at 2.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-unban-bitcoin-by-2027?via=bro
$1.12M in total volume, with $239 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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