As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.5% in Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? — $7.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -0.8 pts.
Since July 10, 2026, No has traded between 77.1% and 99.1%. It opened at 80.5% and last traded at 97.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.5% |
No is favored at 97.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.5% | — | $7.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.5% | — | $7.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,000 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Subdued-Revenant | Yes | 1,000 | $25 |
| Gigantic-Graduation | No | 994 | $968 |
| Heartfelt-Magazine | No | 944 | $920 |
| Subdued-Pasta | Yes | 730 | $19 |
| Married-Tenement | No | 614 | $599 |
| Sympathetic-Shutdown | Yes | 383 | $10 |
| Unaware-Jackal | No | 179 | $175 |
| Parallel-Direction | Yes | 169 | $4 |
| Amazing-Pad | Yes | 76 | $2 |
| 0xfbd5e457… | Yes | 68 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 06:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.1% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 01:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.9% | $15 |
| Oct 07, 09:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.2% | $1 |
| Sep 25, 01:51 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.4% | $0 |
| Sep 24, 01:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.8% | $27 |
| Sep 24, 01:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.6% | $59 |
| Sep 20, 07:29 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.4% | $1 |
| Sep 18, 04:58 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.2% | $1 |
| Sep 15, 12:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.4% | $38 |
| Sep 15, 06:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.9% | $45 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.5%. Next is Yes at 2.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-clavicular-kiss-the-western-wall-in-2026-20260709144445859?via=bro
$7.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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