As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 56.0% in Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? — $79.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 56.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +9.5 pts; past month: +17.5 pts.
Since July 10, 2026, No has traded between 33.5% and 92.5%. It opened at 33.5% and last traded at 56.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 63.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 61.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 62.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 56.0% |
No is favored at 56.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 56¢ | 56.0% | -0.5 pts | $79.5K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 44¢ | 44.0% | +0.5 pts | $79.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 43¢ / ask 45¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$79.5K has been traded on this event in total, $314 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 28,727 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hearty-Likelihood | Yes | 28,727 | $12.6K |
| Unaware-Jackal | No | 13,075 | $7.3K |
| Gigantic-Graduation | No | 7,690 | $4.3K |
| Trained-Notion | No | 1,699 | $952 |
| Athletic-Sender | No | 1,167 | $654 |
| Optimal-Miss | No | 1,000 | $560 |
| Political-Prison | No | 928 | $520 |
| Rough-Role | No | 645 | $361 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | No | 635 | $356 |
| thx4playing | No | 633 | $355 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 57.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 06:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 57.0% | $57 |
| Oct 24, 06:14 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 43.0% | $22 |
| Oct 23, 08:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 56.0% | $86 |
| Oct 23, 05:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 43.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 04:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.9% | $222 |
| Oct 23, 04:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 57.0% | $28 |
| Oct 23, 04:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 56.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 03:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 52.0% | $104 |
| Oct 23, 02:50 PM ET | No | SELL | 53.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 56.0%. Next is Yes at 44.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-clavicular-wear-a-yarmulke-in-2026-20260710172344899?via=bro
$79.5K in total volume, with $314 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 56.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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