As of October 24, 2026, 09:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 57.5% in Will Collapse return to competitive Dota 2 before 2027? — $240 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 57.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +29.5 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, Yes has traded between 27.0% and 54.0%. It opened at 54.0% and last traded at 27.0%.
Yes is favored at 57.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57¢ | 57.5% | +29.5 pts | $240 | 100.0% |
| No | 42¢ | 42.5% | -29.5 pts | $240 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 79¢ (bid 18¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$240 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Collapse plays in an official match of a qualifying Dota 2 tournament between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "qualifying tournament" is a Dota 2 tournament listed as Tier 1, Tier 2, or Tier 3 on Liquipedia. Playing as part of any team's lineup counts, including as a stand-in. Show matches, streamer or charity tournaments, and other tournaments not listed as Tier 1, Tier 2, or Tier 3 on Liquipedia will not count. An announcement of a return, or a move from inactive to active status without playing an official match, will not count on its own. As of market creation, Collapse is on Team Spirit's inactive roster (since September 21, 2026). The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/Collapse); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 200 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 200 | $115 |
| Pure-Threat | No | 200 | $85 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda | No | 20 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 08:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 48.0% | $96 |
| Oct 20, 07:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 07:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 57.5%. Next is No at 42.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-collapse-return-to-competitive-dota-2-before-2027?via=bro
$240 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 57.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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