Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will courts block Mamdani's grocery stores by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31 at 8.0% in Will courts block Mamdani's grocery stores by...? — $2.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $138.
Leading outcome
October 31
8%
A 8.0% price implies roughly a 8-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +3.0 pts7D −4.5 pts30D −46.0 pts
Bid
4¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
9¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 25, 2026: 5.0% – 55.0% · Opened at 7.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will courts block Mamdani's grocery stores by...?
Category
Politics, court cases, New York City, Zohran Mamdani
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$2.9K
Volume (24h)
$138
Liquidity
$175
Markets
1
Leading outcome
October 31 — 8.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, October 31, is priced at 8.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.0 pts; past week: -4.5 pts; past month: -46.0 pts.

Since August 25, 2026, October 31 has traded between 5.0% and 55.0%. It opened at 7.5% and last traded at 8.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202618.5%
Oct 18, 202614.0%
Oct 19, 202611.0%
Oct 20, 202610.0%
Oct 22, 20266.5%
Oct 23, 20265.0%
Oct 24, 20268.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

October 31 is favored at 8.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
October 318¢8.0%+3.0 pts$1.8K61.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 12¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$2.9K has been traded on this event in total, $138 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The Multicultural Business Coalition has filed a lawsuit against the City of New York seeking to block the opening of five municipally owned grocery stores planned under Mayor Zohran Mamdani's administration. This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting, suspending, or pausing the opening or operation of one or more of the planned municipal grocery stores. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, regardless of its stated duration, and regardless of whether any store would otherwise have opened during the market timeframe. A settlement, voluntary dismissal, or withdrawal of the litigation; a dismissal by the court; the City abandoning or modifying the grocery program in the absence of a qualifying court order; or any other disposition in which no qualifying order is issued will resolve this market "No". The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 212 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueYes212$17
Bumpy-ConscienceNo154$141
Wordy-DuelNo144$132
Untimely-MoodYes66$5
Primary-Weather-BungalowNo41$38
Grim-GarageYes33$3
Required-HornYes28$2
Comfortable-Survivor-AttenuationYes22$2
Bare-SlimeNo20$18
Delirious-GraphYes19$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $106 at 69.0%BUY No — $95 at 79.0%SELL No — $60 at 93.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:03 PM ETNoSELL92.9%$19
Oct 24, 04:00 PM ETNoSELL92.9%$8
Oct 24, 04:00 PM ETNoSELL92.9%$19
Oct 24, 03:59 PM ETYesBUY7.1%$2
Oct 24, 03:59 PM ETNoSELL93.0%$60
Oct 23, 06:37 PM ETNoBUY95.0%$10
Oct 22, 05:50 AM ETNoBUY93.0%$46
Oct 21, 01:26 AM ETNoBUY91.0%$9
Oct 19, 07:43 AM ETNoBUY90.0%$36
Oct 19, 07:43 AM ETNoBUY87.0%$14

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will courts block Mamdani's grocery stores by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31 at 8.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-courts-block-mamdanis-grocery-stores-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will courts block Mamdani's grocery stores by...??

$2.9K in total volume, with $138 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will courts block Mamdani's grocery stores by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will courts block Mamdani's grocery stores by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

October 31, priced at 8.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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