As of October 24, 2026, 08:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31 at 8.0% in Will courts block Mamdani's grocery stores by...? — $2.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, October 31, is priced at 8.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.0 pts; past week: -4.5 pts; past month: -46.0 pts.
Since August 25, 2026, October 31 has traded between 5.0% and 55.0%. It opened at 7.5% and last traded at 8.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 18.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 14.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 11.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 6.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 5.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 8.0% |
October 31 is favored at 8.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 8¢ | 8.0% | +3.0 pts | $1.8K | 61.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 12¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.9K has been traded on this event in total, $138 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The Multicultural Business Coalition has filed a lawsuit against the City of New York seeking to block the opening of five municipally owned grocery stores planned under Mayor Zohran Mamdani's administration. This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting, suspending, or pausing the opening or operation of one or more of the planned municipal grocery stores. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, regardless of its stated duration, and regardless of whether any store would otherwise have opened during the market timeframe. A settlement, voluntary dismissal, or withdrawal of the litigation; a dismissal by the court; the City abandoning or modifying the grocery program in the absence of a qualifying court order; or any other disposition in which no qualifying order is issued will resolve this market "No". The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 212 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 212 | $17 |
| Bumpy-Conscience | No | 154 | $141 |
| Wordy-Duel | No | 144 | $132 |
| Untimely-Mood | Yes | 66 | $5 |
| Primary-Weather-Bungalow | No | 41 | $38 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 33 | $3 |
| Required-Horn | Yes | 28 | $2 |
| Comfortable-Survivor-Attenuation | Yes | 22 | $2 |
| Bare-Slime | No | 20 | $18 |
| Delirious-Graph | Yes | 19 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:03 PM ET | No | SELL | 92.9% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 04:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 92.9% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 04:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 92.9% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 03:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.1% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $60 |
| Oct 23, 06:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 05:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $46 |
| Oct 21, 01:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $9 |
| Oct 19, 07:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $36 |
| Oct 19, 07:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $14 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31 at 8.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-courts-block-mamdanis-grocery-stores-byptptpt?via=bro
$2.9K in total volume, with $138 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
October 31, priced at 8.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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