As of October 24, 2026, 08:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 37.5% in Will Courtyard launch a token by ___? — $3.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 37.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +13.5 pts; past week: -5.5 pts; past month: -9.0 pts.
Since July 27, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 37.5% and 58.5%. It opened at 56.0% and last traded at 37.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 44.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 43.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 37.5% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 37.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 38¢ | 37.5% | +13.5 pts | $1.4K | 39.7% |
| June 30, 2027 | 34¢ | 33.5% | +1.5 pts | $628 | 17.6% |
| December 31, 2026 | 7¢ | 7.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.5K | 42.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 36¢ / ask 39¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.6K has been traded on this event in total, $265 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Courtyard officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Courtyard after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Courtyard (https://x.com/Courtyard_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://x.com/Courtyard_io
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 253 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mushy-Ox-Aunt | No | 253 | $158 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 212 | $79 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 128 | $48 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 30 | $19 |
| Guilty-Vulture | No | 30 | $19 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 30 | $19 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | No | 30 | $19 |
| Fixed-Eaglet | Yes | 20 | $8 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 20 | $12 |
| Delectable-Waistband-Star | Yes | 19 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 34.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 73.7% | $66 |
| Oct 24, 02:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 02:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 01:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 01:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 01:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 01:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 37.5%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 33.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-courtyard-launch-a-token-by-20260727145836884?via=bro
$3.6K in total volume, with $265 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/Courtyard_io.
December 31, 2027, priced at 37.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.