Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 60.1% in Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31? — $612 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $20.
Leading outcome
No
60%
A 60.1% price implies roughly a 60-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +36.5 pts7D +36.6 pts30D +35.4 pts
No60.1%
Yes39.9%
Bid
1¢
Ask
79¢
Spread
78¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 25, 2026: 92.0% – 97.2% · Opened at 92.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?
Category
hearing, Politics, Department of War
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$612
Volume (24h)
$20
Liquidity
$82
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 60.1%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 60.1%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +36.5 pts; past week: +36.6 pts; past month: +35.4 pts.

Since August 25, 2026, No has traded between 92.0% and 97.2%. It opened at 92.0% and last traded at 95.2%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202696.7%
Oct 18, 202696.7%
Oct 19, 202696.5%
Oct 20, 202696.7%
Oct 22, 202697.2%
Oct 23, 202696.7%
Oct 24, 202695.2%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 60.1%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No60¢60.1%-36.5 pts$612100.0%
Yes40¢39.9%+36.5 pts$612100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 78¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 79¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$612 has been traded on this event in total, $20 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jennica Pounds, also known as "DataRepublican", provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 119 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Darling-TopNo119$72
Belated-GlueYes106$42
Wilted-Burden-SurvivorNo73$44
Essential-DiaristYes20$8
Plastic-DuckYes20$8
Hurtful-NukeYes20$8
Helpful-CheeseYes12$5
Grim-GarageYes11$4
Plump-ImplementationNo10$6
Tricky-UsherYes8$3

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $164 at 95.7%BUY No — $94 at 93.8%BUY No — $86 at 96.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:54 PM ETYesBUY3.7%$1
Oct 24, 01:11 AM ETYesSELL1.4%$0
Oct 13, 11:35 AM ETNoBUY96.9%$10
Oct 11, 11:44 AM ETNoBUY96.8%$10
Oct 10, 09:53 PM ETNoBUY96.9%$86
Oct 10, 12:08 PM ETNoBUY96.7%$10
Oct 07, 09:48 AM ETNoSELL94.0%$19
Oct 07, 09:48 AM ETYesBUY3.1%$1
Oct 03, 07:07 PM ETYesBUY4.8%$1
Oct 03, 06:47 PM ETYesBUY4.9%$0

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 60.1%. Next is Yes at 39.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-datarepublican-publicly-testify-before-congress-by-october-31?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31??

$612 in total volume, with $20 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 60.1% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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