As of October 24, 2026, 09:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 78.9% in Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September? — $1.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 78.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -13.7 pts; past week: -29.8 pts; past month: +12.2 pts.
Since June 12, 2026, No has traded between 40.5% and 97.2%. It opened at 78.0% and last traded at 77.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 51.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 46.1% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 48.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 46.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 65.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 77.5% |
No is favored at 78.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 79¢ | 78.9% | +13.7 pts | $1.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 21¢ | 21.1% | -13.7 pts | $1.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 39¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 41¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count. If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
Resolution source: https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 108 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Big-Repair | No | 108 | $85 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 65 | $14 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | Yes | 30 | $6 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 7 | $1 |
| Tricky-Usher | No | 6 | $5 |
| Imaginative-Shoes | Yes | 5 | $1 |
| Attentive-Innocence | Yes | 4 | $1 |
| 0xe1f9e017… | Yes | 3 | $1 |
| Squiggly-Waiting | Yes | 1 | $0 |
| Dependable-Aftermath | No | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 06:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 74.3% | $80 |
| Sep 26, 11:28 AM ET | No | SELL | 28.5% | $12 |
| Aug 06, 09:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.5% | $0 |
| Aug 05, 03:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Aug 04, 06:19 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.1% | $0 |
| Aug 04, 06:09 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.1% | $25 |
| Aug 04, 06:09 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $18 |
| Aug 04, 05:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
| Aug 04, 05:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
| Aug 04, 05:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 78.9%. Next is Yes at 21.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-disney-reach-150-million-total-users-by-september-20260610214214503?via=bro
$1.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K.
No, priced at 78.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.