Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Dota 2 average more Steam players in November than in October?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:08 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 73.0% in Will Dota 2 average more Steam players in November than in October? — $1.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $15.
Leading outcome
Yes
73%
A 73.0% price implies roughly a 73-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.0 pts
Yes73.0%
No27.0%
Bid
49¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
48¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 20, 2026: 38.0% – 72.0% · Opened at 38.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Dota 2 average more Steam players in November than in October?
Category
Games, Valve, Dota 2, Culture, Esports, Hide From New
Scheduled end
December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$1.2K
Volume (24h)
$15
Liquidity
$88
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Yes — 73.0%
Resolution source
https://steamcharts.com/app/570

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 73.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts.

Since October 20, 2026, Yes has traded between 38.0% and 72.0%. It opened at 38.0% and last traded at 72.0%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Yes is favored at 73.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Yes73¢73.0%+1.0 pts$1.2K100.0%
No27¢27.0%-1.0 pts$1.2K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 48¢ (bid 49¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$1.2K has been traded on this event in total, $15 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dota 2's average concurrent player count on Steam for November 2026 is greater than its average concurrent player count on Steam for October 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The figures used will be the values in the "Avg. Players" column of the monthly table on SteamCharts (https://steamcharts.com/app/570) for the rows "November 2026" and "October 2026". The figures will be checked once the November 2026 row is published on SteamCharts, and no earlier than December 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. If the two figures are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Revisions to the figures after they are first checked will not be considered. If SteamCharts has not published both figures by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market is SteamCharts (https://steamcharts.com/app/570).

Resolution source: https://steamcharts.com/app/570

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 193 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Pure-ThreatYes193$141
Weird-Ephemeris-ExceptionNo55$15
Firsthand-Swimming-HashNo25$7
Direct-ChainstayNo22$6
Scary-Neck-VascularNo20$5
Gripping-AbolishmentNo20$5
Apt-AntecedentNo20$5
Sunny-SmokingNo19$5
Unripe-PersimmonNo11$3
Sneaky-SpouseYes10$7

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $113 at 43.3%BUY No — $105 at 47.7%BUY Yes — $90 at 46.5%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:09 AM ETNoSELL4.0%$1
Oct 23, 02:55 PM ETYesBUY96.0%$1
Oct 23, 02:19 AM ETYesSELL94.0%$20
Oct 22, 08:18 PM ETNoSELL28.0%$6
Oct 22, 08:33 AM ETYesBUY59.0%$9
Oct 22, 08:33 AM ETNoSELL42.0%$8
Oct 21, 02:45 PM ETNoSELL48.0%$10
Oct 21, 08:08 AM ETYesBUY46.5%$90
Oct 21, 07:40 AM ETNoBUY54.0%$11
Oct 21, 07:40 AM ETNoBUY55.0%$11

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Dota 2 average more Steam players in November than in October??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 73.0%. Next is No at 27.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-dota-2-average-more-steam-players-in-november-than-in-october?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Dota 2 average more Steam players in November than in October??

$1.2K in total volume, with $15 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Dota 2 average more Steam players in November than in October? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://steamcharts.com/app/570.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Dota 2 average more Steam players in November than in October?, according to Polymarket traders?

Yes, priced at 73.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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