As of October 24, 2026, 07:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 16.5% in Will Drake release a new album by...? — $86.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 16.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: -11.5 pts.
Since September 04, 2026, December 31 has traded between 13.5% and 73.0%. It opened at 41.5% and last traded at 16.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 16.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 16.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 23.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 23.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 21.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 16.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 16.5% |
December 31 is favored at 16.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 16¢ | 16.5% | — | $40.2K | 46.6% |
| October 31 | 2¢ | 2.2% | — | $1.9K | 2.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 16¢ / ask 17¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$86.3K has been traded on this event in total, $28 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 02:59 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,704 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Traumatic-Pressroom | Yes | 1,704 | $281 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 1,703 | $281 |
| Vengeful-Netsuke | No | 1,700 | $1.4K |
| Yearly-Takeover | No | 1,439 | $1.2K |
| Unlined-Pole | No | 1,319 | $1.1K |
| Essential-Boar-Harmonize | Yes | 683 | $113 |
| Monstrous-Dew | Yes | 615 | $101 |
| Spiffy-Win | No | 501 | $418 |
| Angelic-Craw | Yes | 420 | $69 |
| Cheery-Science | Yes | 351 | $58 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:26 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 12:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 11:15 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $83 |
| Oct 22, 09:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 07:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 07:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 08:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 08:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 08:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 82.9% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 08:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 16.5%. Next is October 31 at 2.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-drake-release-a-new-album-by?via=bro
$86.3K in total volume, with $28 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 02:59 AM ET.
December 31, priced at 16.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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