Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Avengers: Doomsday at 97.9% in Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? — $55.7K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Avengers: Doomsday
98%
A 97.9% price implies roughly a 98-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −0.8 pts30D −0.6 pts
Avengers: Doomsday97.9%
Dune 32.1%
Bid
1¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since January 05, 2026: 77.5% – 97.9% · Opened at 79.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
Category
Dunesday, Movies, Culture
Scheduled end
December 19, 2026, 07:00 PM ET
Total volume
$55.7K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$3.9K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Avengers: Doomsday — 97.9%
Resolution source
https://www.the-numbers.com/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Avengers: Doomsday, is priced at 97.9%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.8 pts; past month: -0.6 pts.

Since January 05, 2026, Avengers: Doomsday has traded between 77.5% and 97.9%. It opened at 79.0% and last traded at 97.9%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202696.4%
Oct 16, 202696.5%
Oct 18, 202697.8%
Oct 19, 202697.9%
Oct 20, 202697.9%
Oct 23, 202697.9%
Oct 24, 202697.9%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Avengers: Doomsday is favored at 97.9%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Avengers: Doomsday98¢97.9%—$55.7K100.0%
Dune 32¢2.1%—$55.7K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$55.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 19, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.

Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.the-numbers.com/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,232 shares of Avengers: Doomsday.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Parallel-TraderAvengers: Doomsday1,232$1.2K
Caring-OrganizationAvengers: Doomsday1,127$1.1K
Stupendous-EddyDune 3866$19
Quizzical-HireAvengers: Doomsday555$543
Buzzing-ArchrivalDune 3450$10
Biodegradable-IncisionAvengers: Doomsday443$433
Young-RetrospectDune 3387$8
Yellow-PompomDune 3378$8
Appropriate-GrandfatherDune 3362$8
Lazy-JudgmentAvengers: Doomsday334$326

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Avengers: Doomsday — $321 at 97.3%SELL Avengers: Doomsday — $277 at 96.4%SELL Avengers: Doomsday — $85 at 97.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 02:40 AM ETAvengers: DoomsdaySELL97.0%$85
Oct 18, 01:30 AM ETDune 3BUY2.0%$0
Oct 18, 01:29 AM ETAvengers: DoomsdayBUY97.9%$32
Oct 17, 05:59 AM ETAvengers: DoomsdayBUY96.5%$60
Oct 17, 05:53 AM ETAvengers: DoomsdaySELL96.4%$277
Oct 10, 10:23 AM ETDune 3BUY2.4%$0
Oct 10, 10:22 AM ETAvengers: DoomsdayBUY96.8%$48
Oct 10, 03:21 AM ETDune 3SELL3.2%$0
Oct 05, 09:25 PM ETDune 3BUY2.4%$0
Oct 05, 09:18 PM ETAvengers: DoomsdayBUY97.3%$321

Related markets

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Avengers: Doomsday at 97.9%. Next is Dune 3 at 2.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-dune-3-or-avengers-doomsday-gross-more-on-their-opening-weekend-825?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend??

$55.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 19, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.the-numbers.com/.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?, according to Polymarket traders?

Avengers: Doomsday, priced at 97.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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