As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Avengers: Doomsday at 97.9% in Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? — $55.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Avengers: Doomsday, is priced at 97.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.8 pts; past month: -0.6 pts.
Since January 05, 2026, Avengers: Doomsday has traded between 77.5% and 97.9%. It opened at 79.0% and last traded at 97.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.9% |
Avengers: Doomsday is favored at 97.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avengers: Doomsday | 98¢ | 97.9% | — | $55.7K | 100.0% |
| Dune 3 | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $55.7K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$55.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 19, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.
Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.the-numbers.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,232 shares of Avengers: Doomsday.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parallel-Trader | Avengers: Doomsday | 1,232 | $1.2K |
| Caring-Organization | Avengers: Doomsday | 1,127 | $1.1K |
| Stupendous-Eddy | Dune 3 | 866 | $19 |
| Quizzical-Hire | Avengers: Doomsday | 555 | $543 |
| Buzzing-Archrival | Dune 3 | 450 | $10 |
| Biodegradable-Incision | Avengers: Doomsday | 443 | $433 |
| Young-Retrospect | Dune 3 | 387 | $8 |
| Yellow-Pompom | Dune 3 | 378 | $8 |
| Appropriate-Grandfather | Dune 3 | 362 | $8 |
| Lazy-Judgment | Avengers: Doomsday | 334 | $326 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 02:40 AM ET | Avengers: Doomsday | SELL | 97.0% | $85 |
| Oct 18, 01:30 AM ET | Dune 3 | BUY | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 01:29 AM ET | Avengers: Doomsday | BUY | 97.9% | $32 |
| Oct 17, 05:59 AM ET | Avengers: Doomsday | BUY | 96.5% | $60 |
| Oct 17, 05:53 AM ET | Avengers: Doomsday | SELL | 96.4% | $277 |
| Oct 10, 10:23 AM ET | Dune 3 | BUY | 2.4% | $0 |
| Oct 10, 10:22 AM ET | Avengers: Doomsday | BUY | 96.8% | $48 |
| Oct 10, 03:21 AM ET | Dune 3 | SELL | 3.2% | $0 |
| Oct 05, 09:25 PM ET | Dune 3 | BUY | 2.4% | $0 |
| Oct 05, 09:18 PM ET | Avengers: Doomsday | BUY | 97.3% | $321 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Avengers: Doomsday at 97.9%. Next is Dune 3 at 2.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-dune-3-or-avengers-doomsday-gross-more-on-their-opening-weekend-825?via=bro
$55.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 19, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.the-numbers.com/.
Avengers: Doomsday, priced at 97.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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