As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 92.0% in Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? — $11.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 92.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.7 pts; past week: -1.9 pts; past month: +1.5 pts.
Since January 07, 2026, No has traded between 63.0% and 96.5%. It opened at 83.0% and last traded at 92.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 87.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 89.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 90.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 90.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 87.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 92.0% |
No is favored at 92.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92¢ | 92.0% | +4.7 pts | $11.2K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 8¢ | 8.0% | -4.7 pts | $11.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 12¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.2K has been traded on this event in total, $24 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Elon Musk to his administration between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,168 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unaware-Jackal | No | 1,168 | $1.1K |
| Prudent-Crest | Yes | 996 | $80 |
| Plastic-Larder | No | 452 | $416 |
| Tremendous-Divide | Yes | 250 | $20 |
| Another-Verb | No | 232 | $213 |
| Mundane-Hood | No | 193 | $177 |
| Quarterly-Proportion | Yes | 189 | $15 |
| 0xfac0cba4… | Yes | 158 | $13 |
| Puzzling-Baggie | Yes | 140 | $11 |
| Liquid-Depot | Yes | 128 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:10 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 07:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 07:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.3% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 05:06 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $6 |
| Oct 19, 05:06 AM ET | No | SELL | 85.0% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 09:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 85.1% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 09:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.7% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 03:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 02:09 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.5% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 02:09 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.5% | $44 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 92.0%. Next is Yes at 8.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-rejoin-the-trump-administration-in-2026?via=bro
$11.2K in total volume, with $24 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 92.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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